Lealtad vs Astur — Tercera División RFEF - Group 2
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Lealtad and Astur meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 2026 season on 13 December 2026. Lealtad have recorded 6 wins from 10 matches this season (60% win rate), averaging 1.40 goals scored and 0.40 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 20% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 30%; and clean sheets in 70% of games. Astur have won 0% of their 10 matches, with 0.90 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 20%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.58 for Lealtad and 1.19 for Astur. The models give Lealtad a 51% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Astur win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Lealtad
AsturHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Lealtad | Home | Away | Astur | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 80% | 80% | 50% | 20% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 30% | 40% | 20% | 30% | 0% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 20% | 20% | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 20% | 20% | 50% | 80% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Lealtad | Home | Away | Astur | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 30% | 40% | 20% | 80% | 60% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 10% | 20% | 0% | 50% | 20% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clean Sheets | 70% | 60% | 80% | 20% | 40% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lealtad | Astur | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 10% |
| BTTS | 20% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 40% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 10% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lealtad | Astur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 60% | 10% |
| Draw 1st Half | 30% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 10% | 60% |
| Scored 1st Half | 60% | 20% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 10% | 70% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 60% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 20% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 10% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Lealtad (H)
Siero3–0
Caudal0–0
Avilés Stadium2–0
Llanes1–1
Praviano1–2
Coruxo2–2Astur (A)Llanes0–1
Andes3–3
Gijón Industrial2–2
San Martín2–2
Colunga1–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Covadonga | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +15 | 23 |
| 2 |  Sporting Gijón II | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 | Lealtad | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 20 |
| 4 |  Condal | 10 | 5 | 5 | 0 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 | Caudal | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +3 | 18 |
| 6 | Gijón Industrial | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 17 |
| 7 |  Mosconia | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 16 |
| 8 | San Martín | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 15 |
| 9 | Praviano | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 14 |
| 10 |  Langreo | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Siero | 10 | 4 | 0 | 6 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 | Colunga | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 12 |
| 13 | Avilés Stadium | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 | Llanes | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 15 |  Ceares | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 9 |
| 16 | Astur | 10 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -6 | 6 |
| 17 |  L'Entregu | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | -13 | 5 |
| 18 | Andes | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | -13 | 3 |
Team Insights
Lealtad- ●Lealtad have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Lealtad have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Lealtad have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Lealtad have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Lealtad have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Lealtad have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Lealtad have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Lealtad have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Lealtad have won 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●60% of Lealtad's points have been earned away.
Astur- ●Astur have failed to win in their last 10 matches.
- ●Astur have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Astur failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Astur failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●89% of Astur's goals have been scored away.
- ●67% of Astur's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Astur have conceded 73% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
LealtadSan Martín1–0Siero3–0Colunga4–0Caudal0–0Langreo1–0Avilés Stadium2–0Mosconia15/11Gijón Industrial22/11Condal29/11AsturCeares0–0Llanes0–1Andes3–3Condal1–1Gijón Industrial2–2Mosconia0–0Covadonga15/11L'Entregu22/11Praviano29/11Top Scorers
LealtadAstur