Cayón vs Castro — Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
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Cayón and Castro meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Cayón have recorded 5 wins from 8 matches this season (63% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 0.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 13% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 0%; and clean sheets in 75% of games. Castro have won 29% of their 7 matches, with 1.29 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 29%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 43%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.34 for Cayón and 1.14 for Castro. The models give Cayón a 51% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Castro win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 45% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Cayón
CastroHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Cayón | Home | Away | Castro | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 50% | 100% | 63% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 0% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 50% | 0% | 38% | 50% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Cayón | Home | Away | Castro | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 25% | 50% | 0% | 63% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 63% | 50% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 75% | 50% | 100% | 38% | 50% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cayón | Castro | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 38% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 0% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 13% |
| BTTS | 13% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 0% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cayón | Castro | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 63% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 25% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 13% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 63% | 25% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 0% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 13% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 38% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 0% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Cayón (H)
Laredo1–0
Torina0–0
Sámano1–1
Vimenor0–1Vimenor3–1
Cartes3–2Castro (A)
Naval Reinosa1–2
Atlético Albericia2–4
Revilla2–2
Selaya0–0Cartes0–0Revilla1–2Head to Head · 6 matches
CayónCastroCayónCastroCastroCayón| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tropezón | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 19 |
| 2 | Laredo | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +14 | 18 |
| 3 |  Bezana | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 4 | Revilla | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 14 |
| 5 | Cayón | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 6 | Vimenor | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 | Sámano | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 12 |
| 8 | Torina | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +6 | 11 |
| 9 |  Atlético Mineros | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 10 | Castro | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 | Selaya | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 12 |  Solares | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 | Atlético Albericia | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 14 |  Guarnizo | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5 |
| 15 |  Escobedo | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 5 |
| 16 |  Barquereño | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 5 |
| 17 |  Velarde | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 | Naval Reinosa | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 2 |
Team Insights
Cayón- ●Cayón have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Cayón have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Cayón have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Cayón have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Cayón have won their last 4 away matches.
- ●Cayón have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Cayón have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●75% of Cayón's goals have been scored away.
- ●71% of Cayón's points have been earned away.
Castro- ●Castro have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Castro have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●67% of Castro's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●75% of Castro's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
CayónLaredo1–0Bezana2–0Torina0–0Velarde1–0Sámano1–1Atlético Mineros2–0Selaya30/10Solares08/11Revilla15/11CastroNaval Reinosa1–2Escobedo3–0Atlético Albericia2–4Tropezón0–2Atlético Mineros0–2Revilla2–2Barquereño31/10Vimenor08/11Guarnizo15/11Top Scorers
CayónCastroCards Given
CayónCastro