Guarnizo vs Tropezón — Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
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Guarnizo and Tropezón meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Guarnizo have recorded 1 wins from 7 matches this season (14% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 86% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Tropezón have won 86% of their 7 matches, with 1.86 goals scored and 0.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 57%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.17 for Guarnizo and 1.32 for Tropezón. The models give Guarnizo a 31% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Tropezón win at 41%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Guarnizo
TropezónHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Guarnizo | Home | Away | Tropezón | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 67% | 100% | 86% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 33% | 25% | 86% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 33% | 0% | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 33% | 0% | 14% | 25% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Guarnizo | Home | Away | Tropezón | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 43% | 25% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 0% | 75% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 57% | 75% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Guarnizo | Tropezón | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 29% | 0% |
| BTTS | 86% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 43% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Guarnizo | Tropezón | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 29% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 14% |
| Win 2nd Half | 14% | 71% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 57% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 86% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 29% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 14% |
Recent Venue Form
Guarnizo (H)
Bezana1–1
Velarde3–1
Cayón0–1Tropezón0–0
Torina2–2
Noja4–1Tropezón (A)
Castro2–0
Solares2–1
Laredo2–1
Arnedo0–1Laredo1–0Guarnizo0–0Head to Head · 13 matches
GuarnizoTropezónTropezónGuarnizoTropezónGuarnizoGuarnizoTropezónTropezónGuarnizoGuarnizoTropezónGuarnizo| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tropezón | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +10 | 19 |
| 2 | Laredo | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +14 | 18 |
| 3 | Bezana | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +6 | 16 |
| 4 |  Revilla | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 14 |
| 5 | Cayón | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 6 |  Vimenor | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 13 |
| 7 |  Sámano | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 12 |
| 8 | Torina | 7 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +6 | 11 |
| 9 |  Atlético Mineros | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -6 | 9 |
| 10 | Castro | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Selaya | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 12 | Solares | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 |
| 13 |  Atlético Albericia | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 14 | Guarnizo | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5 |
| 15 |  Escobedo | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 5 |
| 16 |  Barquereño | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 5 |
| 17 | Velarde | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -9 | 4 |
| 18 |  Naval Reinosa | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -10 | 2 |
Team Insights
Guarnizo- ●Guarnizo have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Guarnizo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Guarnizo have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Guarnizo have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●79% of Guarnizo's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Guarnizo have scored 56% of their goals in the first half.
Tropezón- ●Tropezón have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Tropezón have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Tropezón have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Tropezón have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
Season Schedule
GuarnizoLaredo2–4Bezana1–1Torina1–1Velarde3–1Sámano1–4Cayón0–1Selaya25/10Solares01/11Revilla08/11TropezónAtlético Albericia0–0Atlético Mineros2–1Castro2–0Revilla2–0Solares2–1Selaya3–0Escobedo25/10Naval Reinosa01/11Barquereño08/11Top Scorers
GuarnizoTropezón