Naval Reinosa vs Guarnizo — Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
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Naval Reinosa and Guarnizo meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 2026 season on 13 December 2026. Naval Reinosa have recorded 1 wins from 9 matches this season (11% win rate), averaging 1.11 goals scored and 2.56 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 89%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Guarnizo have won 20% of their 10 matches, with 1.00 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 10%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.51 for Naval Reinosa and 1.56 for Guarnizo. The models give Naval Reinosa a 35% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Guarnizo win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
Naval ReinosaGuarnizoHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Naval Reinosa | Home | Away | Guarnizo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 56% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 60% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 50% | 60% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 44% | 50% | 40% | 30% | 40% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Naval Reinosa | Home | Away | Guarnizo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 100% | 80% | 90% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 78% | 75% | 80% | 40% | 20% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 67% | 50% | 80% | 30% | 20% | 40% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 0% | 20% | 10% | 20% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Naval Reinosa | Guarnizo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 89% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 67% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 20% |
| BTTS | 56% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 56% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 33% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Naval Reinosa | Guarnizo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 44% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 22% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 67% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 89% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
Naval Reinosa (H)
Castro2–1
Solares2–2
Laredo0–4
Torina0–3Guarnizo (A)Solares0–1Laredo2–4Torina1–1
Sámano1–4
Atlético Mineros1–2
Tropezón0–3| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tropezón | 9 | 7 | 2 | 0 | +14 | 23 |
| 2 |  Revilla | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | +11 | 21 |
| 3 |  Bezana | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 4 |  Cayón | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +9 | 20 |
| 5 | Sámano | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +14 | 19 |
| 6 | Laredo | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3 | +11 | 19 |
| 7 |  Vimenor | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 17 |
| 8 | Torina | 9 | 3 | 6 | 0 | +7 | 15 |
| 9 | Atlético Mineros | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | -6 | 13 |
| 10 | Solares | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -5 | 9 |
| 11 | Castro | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 8 |
| 12 | Guarnizo | 10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -8 | 8 |
| 13 |  Barquereño | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -9 | 8 |
| 14 |  Atlético Albericia | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 15 |  Escobedo | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -9 | 7 |
| 16 |  Selaya | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | -12 | 7 |
| 17 |  Velarde | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | -12 | 6 |
| 18 | Naval Reinosa | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -13 | 5 |
Team Insights
Naval Reinosa- ●Naval Reinosa failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Naval Reinosa have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Naval Reinosa have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Naval Reinosa failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Naval Reinosa have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Naval Reinosa have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Guarnizo- ●Guarnizo have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Guarnizo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Guarnizo failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Guarnizo failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Guarnizo have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of Guarnizo's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●87% of Guarnizo's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Naval ReinosaTropezón0–4Castro2–1Revilla2–3Solares2–2Selaya2–3Laredo0–4Atlético Albericia08/11Escobedo14/11Atlético Mineros22/11GuarnizoRevilla0–3Solares0–1Selaya1–0Laredo2–4Bezana1–1Torina1–1Castro15/11Tropezón22/11Atlético Albericia29/11Top Scorers
Naval ReinosaGuarnizo