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Tropezón vs Velarde — Tercera División RFEF - Group 3

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Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 · Group 3 - 15
Tropezón
Tropezón
1º · 2.56 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 43d 1h
vs
–
–
Velarde
Velarde
17º · 0.60 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 36d 0h
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Tropezón and Velarde meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 3 2026 season on 13 December 2026. Tropezón have recorded 7 wins from 9 matches this season (78% win rate), averaging 2.11 goals scored and 0.56 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 44% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 56% of games. Velarde have won 10% of their 10 matches, with 0.70 goals scored and 1.90 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 30%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.04 for Tropezón and 0.87 for Velarde. The models give Tropezón a 68% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Velarde win at 11%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 50%.

Season Statistics

Tropezón
—
Velarde
1º
Position
17º
2.56
PPG
0.60
78%
Win %
10%
2.11
Goals / game
0.70
0.56
Conceded / game
1.90
44%
BTTS %
50%
56%
Clean sheet %
30%
67%
Over 2.5 %
40%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Tropezón
Home (5)
—
Velarde
Away (5)
2.60
PPG
0.60
80%
Win %
20%
2.20
Goals / game
1.00
0.20
Conceded / game
2.60
20%
BTTS %
60%
80%
Clean sheet %
20%
60%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

TropezónHomeAwayVelardeHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored89%80%100%60%40%80%
Over 1.5 Scored89%80%100%10%0%20%
Over 2.5 Scored22%40%0%0%0%0%
Failed To Score11%20%0%40%60%20%

Goals Conceded

TropezónHomeAwayVelardeHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded44%20%75%70%60%80%
Over 1.5 Conceded11%0%25%50%20%80%
Over 2.5 Conceded0%0%0%40%20%60%
Clean Sheets56%80%25%30%40%20%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

TropezónVelarde
Over 0.589%80%
Over 1.589%60%
Over 2.567%40%
Over 3.522%40%
Over 4.50%30%
BTTS44%50%
BTTS & Win33%0%
BTTS & Draw11%10%
BTTS & Over 2.544%40%
BTTS No & Over 2.522%0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

TropezónVelarde
Win 1st Half44%0%
Draw 1st Half44%60%
Loss 1st Half11%40%
Scored 1st Half56%30%
Conceded 1st Half22%40%
Win 2nd Half78%10%
Draw 2nd Half22%50%
Loss 2nd Half0%40%
Scored 2nd Half89%40%
Conceded 2nd Half33%60%
Over 0.5 HT67%40%
Over 1.5 HT11%40%

Recent Venue Form

Tropezón (H)
WNaval Reinosa4–0
DAtlético Albericia0–0
WAtlético Mineros2–1
WRevilla2–0
WSelaya3–0
WArnedo1–0
Velarde (A)
LBezana1–4
LAtlético Mineros2–4
LSámano0–2
LGuarnizo1–3
WBarquereño1–0
DTorina0–0

Head to Head · 2 matches

0
Tropezón
0%
2
Draws
100%
0
Velarde
0%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
0%
Over 2.5
0/2
0%
Over 3.5
0/2
100%
BTTS
2/2
10/02/24
Tropezón
1–1
Velarde
23/09/23
Velarde
1–1
Tropezón
Tercera División RFEF - Group 3
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Tropezón9720+1423
2Revilla10631+1121
3Bezana9621+920
4Cayón9621+920
5Sámano10541+1419
6Laredo10613+1119
7Vimenor9522+617
8Torina9360+715
9Atlético Mineros10415-613
10Solares9234-59
11Castro9225-38
12Guarnizo10226-88
13Barquereño9225-98
14Atlético Albericia9144-47
15Escobedo10145-97
16Selaya10217-127
17Velarde10136-126
18Naval Reinosa9126-135

Team Insights

Tropezón
  • ●Tropezón have been undefeated in their last 9 matches.
  • ●Tropezón have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Tropezón have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Tropezón have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Tropezón have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Tropezón have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Tropezón have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
Velarde
  • ●Velarde have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
  • ●Velarde have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
  • ●Velarde have lost their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Velarde have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
  • ●Velarde failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●Velarde have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
  • ●68% of Velarde's goals conceded were conceded away.
  • ●Velarde have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
TropezónTropezón
WHNaval Reinosa18º4–0
DAEscobedo15º2–2
DHAtlético Albericia14º0–0
WHAtlético Mineros9º2–1
WACastro11º2–0
WHRevilla2º2–0
WASolares10º2–1
WHSelaya16º3–0
WALaredo6º2–1
LAArnedo0–1
VelardeVelarde
DHLaredo6º1–1
LABezana3º1–4
DHTorina8º0–0
LAAtlético Mineros9º2–4
LASámano5º0–2
LHCayón4º0–1
LAGuarnizo12º1–3
LHVimenor7º1–4
WABarquereño13º1–0
DHNaval Reinosa18º0–0

Season Schedule

Tropezón
WHNaval Reinosa4–0
DAEscobedo2–2
DHAtlético Albericia0–0
WHAtlético Mineros2–1
WACastro2–0
WHRevilla2–0
–ABarquereño08/11
–HVimenor15/11
–AGuarnizo22/11
Velarde
DHLaredo1–1
LABezana1–4
DHTorina0–0
LAAtlético Mineros2–4
LASámano0–2
LHCayón0–1
–ASelaya15/11
–HSolares22/11
–ARevilla29/11

Top Scorers

Tropezón
J. Casar4 ⚽
4 ⚽
A. Raba3 ⚽
J. Madrono2 ⚽
P. Gallego2 ⚽
D. Bolado2 ⚽
Velarde
A. Manzanares1 ⚽
A. Pelayo1 ⚽
C. Macias1 ⚽
M. Diego1 ⚽
R. Lavin1 ⚽
1 ⚽

Cards Given

Tropezón
Velarde
S. Ojembarrena1 🟨
Toki1 🟨