Derio vs Beasain — Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
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Derio and Beasain meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 2026 season on 4 October 2026. Derio have recorded 2 wins from 8 matches this season (25% win rate), averaging 1.13 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Beasain have won 33% of their 6 matches, with 1.33 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 33%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.22 for Derio and 0.81 for Beasain. The models give Derio a 50% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Beasain win at 21%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 33% and BTTS at 39%.
Season Statistics
Derio
BeasainHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Derio | Home | Away | Beasain | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 40% | 100% | 71% | 100% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 40% | 33% | 57% | 75% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 60% | 0% | 29% | 0% | 67% |
Goals Conceded
| Derio | Home | Away | Beasain | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 60% | 100% | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 40% | 0% | 57% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 40% | 0% | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 40% | 0% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Derio | Beasain | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 14% |
| BTTS | 50% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Derio | Beasain | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 57% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Derio (H)
Santurtzi2–0
Salamanca UDS3–5
Real Sociedad III0–0
Sestao River0–1
Athletic Club0–3
Leioa0–1Beasain (A)
Touring0–2
Aretxabaleta0–0
Lagun Onak2–2
Náxara0–1
Ebro0–1Sestao River1–1Head to Head · 4 matches
DerioBeasainBeasainDerio| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Aurrerá Vitoria | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | +5 | 10 |
| 2 | Derio | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | +3 | 8 |
| 3 | Touring | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 7 |
| 4 | Leioa | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1 | 6 |
| 5 |  Erandio | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 |
| 6 |  Eibar III | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 5 |
| 7 |  Durango | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 8 | Aretxabaleta | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 |
| 9 |  Sodupe | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 5 |
| 10 |  Deportivo Alavés III | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad III | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 |
| 12 |  Pasaia KE | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 13 |  R. Union B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Beasain | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 4 |
| 15 | Lagun Onak | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | -1 | 4 |
| 16 | Santurtzi | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 |  San Ignacio | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | 2 |
| 18 |  Amurrio Club | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 1 |
Team Insights
Derio- ●Derio have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Derio have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
Beasain- ●Beasain have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
Season Schedule
DerioAretxabaleta2–1Santurtzi2–0San Ignacio1–1Real Sociedad III0–0Beasain04/10Durango11/10Touring18/10BeasainDurango1–2Touring0–2Aretxabaleta0–0Santurtzi2–0Derio04/10Lagun Onak11/10Pasaia KE18/10Top Scorers
DerioBeasainCards Given
DerioBeasain