Derio vs R. Union B — Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
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Derio and R. Union B meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Derio have recorded 3 wins from 10 matches this season (30% win rate), averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 30%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. R. Union B have won 17% of their 6 matches, with 1.17 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.41 for Derio and 1.04 for R. Union B. The models give Derio a 51% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an R. Union B win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
DerioR. Union BHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Derio | Home | Away | R. Union | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 70% | 50% | 100% | 50% | 33% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 50% | 25% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 17% | 0% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 30% | 50% | 0% | 50% | 67% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Derio | Home | Away | R. Union | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 50% | 100% | 83% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 33% | 0% | 67% | 100% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 33% | 0% | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 50% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Derio | R. Union | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 33% |
| BTTS | 50% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Derio | R. Union | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 17% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 17% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 50% |
Recent Venue Form
Derio (H)
Beasain2–0
Santurtzi2–0
Salamanca UDS3–5
Real Sociedad III0–0
Sestao River0–1
Athletic Club0–3R. Union (A)Santurtzi0–1Real Sociedad III3–3
Erandio1–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Aurrerá Vitoria | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 2 |  Leioa | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +10 | 12 |
| 3 | Derio | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +5 | 12 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad III | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 5 |  Aretxabaleta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |  Deportivo Alavés III | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 10 |
| 7 |  Pasaia KE | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 |  San Ignacio | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Touring | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 |  Sodupe | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
| 11 |  Durango | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 | Beasain | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lagun Onak | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 | Erandio | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Santurtzi | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 |  Eibar III | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 5 |
| 17 | R. Union B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 |  Amurrio Club | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -12 | 1 |
Team Insights
Derio- ●Derio have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Derio have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Derio have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Derio have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Derio have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
R. Union- ●R. Union B have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●67% of R. Union B's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
DerioDurango1–1Beasain2–0Aretxabaleta2–1Santurtzi2–0San Ignacio1–1Real Sociedad III0–0Touring17/10Lagun Onak25/10Pasaia KE01/11R. UnionSanturtzi0–1San Ignacio0–3Real Sociedad III3–3Leioa3–3Erandio1–0Sodupe0–2Aretxabaleta18/10Beasain25/10Durango01/11Top Scorers
DerioR. UnionCards Given
DerioR. Union