Eibar III vs Derio — Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
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Eibar III and Derio meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Eibar III have recorded 2 wins from 7 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.71 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 100% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Derio have won 30% of their 10 matches, with 1.20 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 30%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.51 for Eibar III and 1.33 for Derio. The models give Eibar III a 36% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Derio win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Eibar III | Home | Away | Derio | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 70% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 75% | 0% | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 50% | 0% | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 30% | 50% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Eibar III | Home | Away | Derio | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 70% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 25% | 67% | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 14% | 25% | 0% | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 30% | 50% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Eibar III | Derio | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 71% | 30% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 10% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 10% |
| BTTS | 100% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 71% | 20% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Eibar III | Derio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 43% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 57% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 86% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 30% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 0% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 71% | 40% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 86% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 4 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 | |
| 2 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +10 | 12 | |
| 3 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +5 | 12 | |
| 4 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 | |
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 | |
| 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 10 | |
| 7 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 10 | |
| 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 8 | |
| 9 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 | |
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 8 | |
| 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | |
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 | |
| 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 | |
| 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -2 | 6 | |
| 15 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 6 | |
| 16 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 5 | |
| 17 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 | |
| 18 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -12 | 1 |
Team Insights
- ●Eibar III have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Eibar III have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Eibar III failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Eibar III have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Eibar III have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Eibar III have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●67% of Eibar III's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Eibar III have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Derio have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Derio have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Derio have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Derio have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Derio have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.