Leioa vs Real Sociedad III — Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
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Leioa and Real Sociedad III meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Leioa have recorded 3 wins from 8 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 2.75 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Real Sociedad III have won 50% of their 6 matches, with 1.83 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.68 for Leioa and 1.28 for Real Sociedad III. The models give Leioa a 49% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Real Sociedad III win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
LeioaReal Sociedad IIIHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Leioa | Home | Away | Real Sociedad | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 75% | 75% | 83% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 50% | 50% | 67% | 67% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 38% | 25% | 50% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 25% | 25% | 17% | 0% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Leioa | Home | Away | Real Sociedad | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 75% | 75% | 50% | 33% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 33% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 38% | 25% | 50% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 25% | 25% | 50% | 67% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Leioa | Real Sociedad | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 63% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 38% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 50% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Leioa | Real Sociedad | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 67% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 63% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 63% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 13% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 83% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 63% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Leioa (H)
Aurrerá Vitoria4–0
Eibar III2–1
Pasaia KE1–1
Athletic Club0–11
Albacete II1–0
Derio1–0Real Sociedad (A)Eibar III3–2Pasaia KE2–3Derio0–0
Añorga2–1
Aretxabaleta5–2
Santurtzi3–0Head to Head · 2 matches
Real Sociedad IIILeioa| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aurrerá Vitoria | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 13 |
| 2 | Leioa | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +10 | 12 |
| 3 | Derio | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +5 | 12 |
| 4 | Real Sociedad III | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 5 | Aretxabaleta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 11 |
| 6 |  Deportivo Alavés III | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 10 |
| 7 | Pasaia KE | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 |  San Ignacio | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |  Touring | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 10 |  Sodupe | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -4 | 8 |
| 11 |  Durango | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 |  Beasain | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 7 |
| 13 |  Lagun Onak | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 |  Erandio | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -2 | 6 |
| 15 | Santurtzi | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 | Eibar III | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 5 |
| 17 |  R. Union B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -5 | 5 |
| 18 |  Amurrio Club | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -12 | 1 |
Team Insights
Leioa- ●Leioa have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Leioa have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Leioa have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Leioa have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Leioa have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Leioa have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
Real Sociedad- ●Real Sociedad III have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Real Sociedad III have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Real Sociedad III have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
Season Schedule
LeioaAurrerá Vitoria4–0Amurrio Club5–0Eibar III2–1R. Union B3–3Pasaia KE1–1Lagun Onak1–1Deportivo Alavés III17/10Sodupe25/10Erandio01/11Real SociedadAmurrio Club1–0Eibar III3–2R. Union B3–3Pasaia KE2–3Lagun Onak2–0Derio0–0Aurrerá Vitoria17/10Deportivo Alavés III25/10Sodupe01/11Top Scorers
LeioaReal SociedadCards Given
LeioaReal Sociedad