Aurrerá Vitoria vs Derio — Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
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Aurrerá Vitoria and Derio meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Aurrerá Vitoria have recorded 5 wins from 8 matches this season (63% win rate), averaging 1.50 goals scored and 1.63 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 75%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Derio have won 33% of their 12 matches, with 1.17 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.48 for Aurrerá Vitoria and 1.03 for Derio. The models give Aurrerá Vitoria a 46% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Derio win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Aurrerá VitoriaDerioHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Aurrerá Vitoria | Home | Away | Derio | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 100% | 50% | 67% | 57% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 63% | 75% | 50% | 42% | 57% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 0% | 25% | 8% | 14% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 0% | 50% | 33% | 43% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Aurrerá Vitoria | Home | Away | Derio | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 75% | 75% | 75% | 57% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 0% | 50% | 25% | 29% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 25% | 0% | 50% | 17% | 29% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 43% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Aurrerá Vitoria | Derio | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 75% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 8% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 8% |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 38% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 38% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Aurrerá Vitoria | Derio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 42% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 42% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 42% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Aurrerá Vitoria (H)
Real Sociedad III2–0
Erandio2–1
Deportivo Alavés III2–1
Touring1–1
Deusto2–1
San Ignacio0–1Derio (A)Touring0–2
Durango1–1
Aretxabaleta2–1San Ignacio1–1
Compostela1–1
Leioa0–1Head to Head · 2 matches
Aurrerá VitoriaDerio| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leioa | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | +13 | 16 |
| 2 | Aurrerá Vitoria | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 16 |
| 3 | Derio | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +4 | 15 |
| 4 | San Ignacio | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +8 | 14 |
| 5 | Aretxabaleta | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 14 |
| 6 | Touring | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 7 | Durango | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 8 | Deportivo Alavés III | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 11 |
| 9 |  Beasain | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 11 |
| 10 | Real Sociedad III | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 11 |
| 11 |  Sodupe | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 11 |
| 12 |  Pasaia KE | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 10 |
| 13 |  Eibar III | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 |  Lagun Onak | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Erandio | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | -4 | 6 |
| 16 |  Santurtzi | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -5 | 6 |
| 17 |  R. Union B | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 6 |
| 18 |  Amurrio Club | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -13 | 1 |
Team Insights
Aurrerá Vitoria- ●Aurrerá Vitoria have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Aurrerá Vitoria have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Aurrerá Vitoria have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●77% of Aurrerá Vitoria's goals conceded were conceded away.
Derio- ●Derio have won their last 3 home matches.
Season Schedule
Aurrerá VitoriaSan Ignacio0–5Real Sociedad III2–0Leioa0–4Erandio2–1Sodupe3–0Deportivo Alavés III2–1Santurtzi31/10Aretxabaleta08/11Beasain15/11DerioLagun Onak2–1Touring0–2Durango1–1Beasain2–0Aretxabaleta2–1Santurtzi2–0Pasaia KE31/10R. Union B08/11Eibar III15/11Top Scorers
Aurrerá VitoriaDerioCards Given
Aurrerá VitoriaDerio