Beasain vs Erandio — Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
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Beasain and Erandio meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Beasain have recorded 4 wins from 12 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.58 goals scored and 1.58 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Erandio have won 22% of their 9 matches, with 0.89 goals scored and 1.44 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.62 for Beasain and 1.18 for Erandio. The models give Beasain a 50% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Erandio win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Beasain
ErandioHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Beasain | Home | Away | Erandio | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 100% | 50% | 56% | 40% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 67% | 33% | 33% | 40% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 17% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 0% | 50% | 44% | 60% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Beasain | Home | Away | Erandio | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 83% | 83% | 78% | 80% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 58% | 50% | 67% | 44% | 40% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 17% | 17% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 17% | 17% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Beasain | Erandio | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 11% |
| BTTS | 67% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 58% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Beasain | Erandio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 17% | 22% |
| Loss 1st Half | 58% | 44% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 8% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 22% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 58% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
Beasain (H)
R. Union B1–1
Lagun Onak4–2
Durango1–2
Santurtzi2–0
Valle Egüés2–3
Touring2–1Erandio (A)
Sodupe0–1
Aurrerá Vitoria1–2
Eibar III1–3
Pasaia KE2–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Leioa | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | +14 | 19 |
| 2 | Aurrerá Vitoria | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19 |
| 3 |  Derio | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 |  Aretxabaleta | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
| 5 |  Deportivo Alavés III | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Real Sociedad III | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 7 | Touring | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 |  San Ignacio | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 14 |
| 9 | Eibar III | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 14 |
| 10 | Durango | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +3 | 14 |
| 11 | Beasain | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Sodupe | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 11 |
| 13 | Pasaia KE | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 10 |
| 14 | Santurtzi | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Lagun Onak | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 16 | R. Union B | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 | Erandio | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 |  Amurrio Club | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 1 |
Team Insights
Beasain- ●Beasain failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Beasain have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Beasain failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●62% of Beasain's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Beasain have conceded 77% of their goals in the first half.
Erandio- ●Erandio have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Erandio have lost their last 5 matches.
- ●Erandio failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Erandio have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Erandio have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Erandio failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Erandio have lost 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Erandio have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
BeasainEibar III1–3R. Union B1–1Pasaia KE4–1Lagun Onak4–2Derio0–2Durango1–2Amurrio Club07/11Aurrerá Vitoria15/11Deportivo Alavés III22/11ErandioLeioa2–3Touring0–1Sodupe0–1Deportivo Alavés III0–2Aurrerá Vitoria1–2Amurrio Club2–0Real Sociedad III07/11San Ignacio15/11Santurtzi22/11Top Scorers
BeasainErandio