Lagun Onak vs Aurrerá Vitoria — Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
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Lagun Onak and Aurrerá Vitoria meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Lagun Onak have recorded 2 wins from 10 matches this season (20% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Aurrerá Vitoria have won 67% of their 9 matches, with 1.56 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 78%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.63 for Lagun Onak and 1.20 for Aurrerá Vitoria. The models give Lagun Onak a 43% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Aurrerá Vitoria win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Lagun OnakAurrerá VitoriaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Lagun Onak | Home | Away | Aurrerá Vitoria | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 100% | 60% | 78% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 20% | 20% | 20% | 67% | 80% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 0% | 40% | 22% | 0% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Lagun Onak | Home | Away | Aurrerá Vitoria | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 80% | 60% | 78% | 80% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 60% | 60% | 60% | 22% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 20% | 22% | 0% | 50% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 20% | 40% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lagun Onak | Aurrerá Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 11% |
| BTTS | 60% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 44% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 44% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 33% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lagun Onak | Aurrerá Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 40% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 60% | 22% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 70% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 10% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 60% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 10% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 60% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
Lagun Onak (H)
Durango1–2
Aretxabaleta1–2
San Ignacio1–0
Leioa1–1
Beasain2–2
Derio2–0Aurrerá Vitoria (A)San Ignacio0–5Leioa0–4
Sodupe3–0
Amurrio Club2–1
Portugalete2–1Derio1–1Head to Head · 4 matches
Aurrerá VitoriaLagun OnakAurrerá VitoriaLagun Onak| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Leioa | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | +14 | 19 |
| 2 | Aurrerá Vitoria | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19 |
| 3 | Derio | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 | Aretxabaleta | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 17 |
| 5 |  Deportivo Alavés III | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +10 | 15 |
| 6 |  Real Sociedad III | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 7 |  Touring | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 15 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 14 |
| 9 |  Eibar III | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 14 |
| 10 | Durango | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | +3 | 14 |
| 11 | Beasain | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11 |
| 12 | Sodupe | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -9 | 11 |
| 13 |  Pasaia KE | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 10 |
| 14 |  Santurtzi | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -5 | 9 |
| 15 | Lagun Onak | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -5 | 8 |
| 16 |  R. Union B | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -7 | 7 |
| 17 |  Erandio | 9 | 2 | 0 | 7 | -5 | 6 |
| 18 | Amurrio Club | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -15 | 1 |
Team Insights
Lagun Onak- ●Lagun Onak have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Lagun Onak have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Lagun Onak have scored 88% of their goals in the first half.
Aurrerá Vitoria- ●Aurrerá Vitoria have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Aurrerá Vitoria have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Aurrerá Vitoria have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Aurrerá Vitoria failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●64% of Aurrerá Vitoria's goals have been scored at home.
- ●71% of Aurrerá Vitoria's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Lagun OnakTouring0–0Derio1–2Durango1–2Beasain2–4Aretxabaleta1–2Santurtzi1–0Pasaia KE07/11R. Union B15/11Eibar III22/11Aurrerá VitoriaSanturtzi2–1San Ignacio0–5Real Sociedad III2–0Leioa0–4Erandio2–1Sodupe3–0Aretxabaleta08/11Beasain15/11Durango22/11Top Scorers
Lagun OnakAurrerá Vitoria