Sodupe vs Derio — Tercera División RFEF - Group 4
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Sodupe and Derio meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 4 2026 season on 13 December 2026. Sodupe have recorded 4 wins from 10 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 0.70 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 20% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Derio have won 36% of their 14 matches, with 1.36 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 21%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.21 for Sodupe and 1.34 for Derio. The models give Sodupe a 34% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Derio win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Sodupe | Home | Away | Derio | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 60% | 60% | 71% | 63% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 10% | 0% | 20% | 50% | 63% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 13% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 40% | 40% | 29% | 38% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| Sodupe | Home | Away | Derio | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 50% | 60% | 40% | 79% | 63% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 40% | 40% | 40% | 36% | 38% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 40% | 40% | 40% | 21% | 38% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 50% | 40% | 60% | 21% | 38% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sodupe | Derio | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 21% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 21% |
| BTTS | 20% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 21% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 10% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 30% | 7% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sodupe | Derio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 21% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 40% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 20% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 21% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 40% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | +16 | 22 | |
| 2 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 19 | |
| 3 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +7 | 18 | |
| 4 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +4 | 18 | |
| 5 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +5 | 17 | |
| 6 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 17 | |
| 7 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +10 | 15 | |
| 8 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 15 | |
| 9 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +6 | 14 | |
| 10 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +4 | 14 | |
| 11 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | +2 | 14 | |
| 12 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | -8 | 14 | |
| 13 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 11 | |
| 14 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | -6 | 10 | |
| 15 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | -9 | 10 | |
| 16 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | -5 | 9 | |
| 17 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | -8 | 6 | |
| 18 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 9 | -21 | 1 |
Team Insights
- ●Sodupe have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Derio failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Derio have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Derio have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Derio failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Derio have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Derio failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.

