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Móstoles vs Galapagar — Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

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Móstoles
Móstoles
6º · 1.83 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 7d 6h
vs
–
–
Galapagar
Galapagar
4º · 1.83 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 7d 6h
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Móstoles and Galapagar meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Móstoles have recorded 3 wins from 6 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.17 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Galapagar have won 50% of their 6 matches, with 2.17 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 100%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 0%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.53 for Móstoles and 1.54 for Galapagar. The models give Móstoles a 39% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Galapagar win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 62%.

Season Statistics

Móstoles
—
Galapagar
6º
Position
4º
1.83
PPG
1.83
50%
Win %
50%
1.17
Goals / game
2.17
0.67
Conceded / game
1.67
50%
BTTS %
100%
50%
Clean sheet %
0%
33%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Móstoles
Home (3)
—
Galapagar
Away (3)
1.67
PPG
3.00
33%
Win %
100%
0.67
Goals / game
3.33
0.33
Conceded / game
1.67
33%
BTTS %
100%
67%
Clean sheet %
0%
0%
Over 2.5 %
100%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

MóstolesHomeAwayGalapagarHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored83%67%100%100%100%100%
Over 1.5 Scored17%0%33%50%0%100%
Over 2.5 Scored17%0%33%33%0%67%
Failed To Score17%33%0%0%0%0%

Goals Conceded

MóstolesHomeAwayGalapagarHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded50%33%67%100%100%100%
Over 1.5 Conceded17%0%33%50%33%67%
Over 2.5 Conceded0%0%0%17%33%0%
Clean Sheets50%67%33%0%0%0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

MóstolesGalapagar
Over 0.583%100%
Over 1.550%100%
Over 2.533%67%
Over 3.517%50%
Over 4.50%33%
BTTS50%100%
BTTS & Win17%50%
BTTS & Draw17%33%
BTTS & Over 2.533%67%
BTTS No & Over 2.50%0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

MóstolesGalapagar
Win 1st Half17%33%
Draw 1st Half67%17%
Loss 1st Half17%50%
Scored 1st Half33%50%
Conceded 1st Half33%67%
Win 2nd Half50%50%
Draw 2nd Half33%50%
Loss 2nd Half17%0%
Scored 2nd Half67%83%
Conceded 2nd Half33%67%
Over 0.5 HT50%83%
Over 1.5 HT33%33%

Recent Venue Form

Móstoles (H)
DLeganés II1–1
WCala Pozuelo1–0
DRayo Vallecano II0–0
LVillanueva Pardillo3–5
DLeganés II1–1
LTorrejón2–3
Galapagar (A)
WLeganés II3–2
WRayo Vallecano II2–1
WReal Aranjuez5–2
WAD Parla5–0
LUnión Adarve1–3
DVillaverde-Boetticher1–1

Head to Head · 6 matches

3
Móstoles
50%
3
Draws
50%
0
Galapagar
0%
50%
Over 1.5
3/6
17%
Over 2.5
1/6
17%
Over 3.5
1/6
33%
BTTS
2/6
22/02/26
Galapagar
1–1
Móstoles
12/10/25
Móstoles
1–0
Galapagar
01/05/24
Galapagar
3–3
Móstoles
07/01/24
Móstoles
0–0
Galapagar
22/01/23
Móstoles
2–0
Galapagar
18/09/22
Galapagar
0–1
Móstoles

Team Insights

Móstoles
  • ●Móstoles have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Móstoles have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
Galapagar
  • ●Galapagar failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Galapagar have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Galapagar have won their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Galapagar have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
  • ●77% of Galapagar's goals have been scored away.
  • ●82% of Galapagar's points have been earned away.
  • ●Galapagar have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
LAUnión Adarve8º1–2
DHLeganés II11º1–1
WATorrejón12º1–0
WHCala Pozuelo3º1–0
WAFuenlabrada7º3–1
DAA Madrid III1º1–1
DAA Madrid III1º1–1
WALeganés II11º3–2
LHCala Pozuelo3º1–3
DHLas Rozas1º1–1
WAReal Aranjuez15º5–2
WHLas Rozas4º3–1
WHLas Rozas4º3–1
WAAD Parla17º5–0
WAAD Parla17º5–0

Season Schedule

Móstoles
LAUnión Adarve1–2
DHLeganés II1–1
WATorrejón1–0
WHCala Pozuelo1–0
WAFuenlabrada3–1
DHRayo Vallecano II0–0
–HGalapagar18/10
–AVillanueva Pardillo25/10
–HRC Alcobendas01/11
Galapagar
WALeganés II3–2
LHCala Pozuelo1–3
WARayo Vallecano II2–1
DHLas Rozas1–1
WAReal Aranjuez5–2
DHPozuelo Alarcón1–1
–AMóstoles18/10
–HRC Alcobendas25/10
–ATrival Valderas01/11

Top Scorers

Móstoles
A. Perez2 ⚽
A. Moreno1 ⚽
A. Sanchez1 ⚽
C. Diaz1 ⚽
Moreno Alberto1 ⚽
T. Acuna1 ⚽
Galapagar
7 ⚽
A. Moreno3 ⚽
F. Ferreres1 ⚽
G. Menendez1 ⚽
More1 ⚽

Cards Given

Móstoles
Juanpe1 🟨
Galapagar