Móstoles vs Trival Valderas — Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Móstoles and Trival Valderas meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Móstoles have recorded 3 wins from 6 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.17 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Trival Valderas have won 50% of their 6 matches, with 1.33 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 67%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 17%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.32 for Móstoles and 1.06 for Trival Valderas. The models give Móstoles a 38% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Trival Valderas win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 48%.