Pozuelo Alarcón vs Móstoles — Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
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Pozuelo Alarcón and Móstoles meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Pozuelo Alarcón have recorded 4 wins from 9 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.44 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 22% of games. Móstoles have won 57% of their 7 matches, with 1.43 goals scored and 0.57 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 57%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.77 for Pozuelo Alarcón and 1.50 for Móstoles. The models give Pozuelo Alarcón a 45% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Móstoles win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 63% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Pozuelo AlarcónMóstolesHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Pozuelo Alarcón | Home | Away | Móstoles | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 75% | 100% | 86% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 22% | 50% | 0% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 50% | 0% | 29% | 25% | 33% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 25% | 0% | 14% | 25% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Pozuelo Alarcón | Home | Away | Móstoles | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 78% | 100% | 60% | 43% | 25% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 50% | 20% | 14% | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 25% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 22% | 0% | 40% | 57% | 75% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Pozuelo Alarcón | Móstoles | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 33% | 14% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 0% |
| BTTS | 67% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Pozuelo Alarcón | Móstoles | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 29% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 44% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 78% | 29% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Pozuelo Alarcón (H)
Alcobendas Sport4–3
SS Reyes II3–2
RC Alcobendas1–1
Marchamalo0–1
Tres Cantos3–1Móstoles2–0Móstoles (A)
Unión Adarve1–2
Torrejón1–0
Fuenlabrada3–1
A Madrid III1–1Pozuelo Alarcón0–2
Trival Valderas0–1Head to Head · 8 matches
MóstolesPozuelo AlarcónPozuelo AlarcónMóstolesPozuelo AlarcónMóstolesPozuelo AlarcónMóstoles| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Las Rozas | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 14 |
| 2 | Móstoles | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 14 |
| 3 |  Colonia Moscardó | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +9 | 13 |
| 4 |  Cala Pozuelo | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 13 |
| 5 | Unión Adarve | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 6 | Trival Valderas | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +3 | 12 |
| 7 | Pozuelo Alarcón | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | -1 | 12 |
| 8 |  Galapagar | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 11 |
| 9 | Torrejón | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +5 | 10 |
| 10 |  Leganés II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 11 | Fuenlabrada | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9 |
| 12 | RC Alcobendas | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 |
| 13 | Alcobendas Sport | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 |  Real Aranjuez | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Parla Escuela | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 16 | SS Reyes II | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | -7 | 6 |
| 17 |  Rayo Vallecano II | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 4 |
| 18 |  Villanueva Pardillo | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -12 | 4 |
Team Insights
Pozuelo Alarcón- ●Pozuelo Alarcón have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Pozuelo Alarcón have scored in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Pozuelo Alarcón have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Pozuelo Alarcón have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●67% of Pozuelo Alarcón's goals have been scored at home.
Móstoles- ●Móstoles have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Móstoles have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Móstoles have scored 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Pozuelo AlarcónFuenlabrada1–0Alcobendas Sport4–3Colonia Moscardó1–5SS Reyes II3–2Trival Valderas1–1RC Alcobendas1–1Torrejón25/10Unión Adarve01/11Villanueva Pardillo08/11MóstolesGalapagar3–0Unión Adarve1–2Leganés II1–1Torrejón1–0Cala Pozuelo1–0Fuenlabrada3–1Villanueva Pardillo25/10RC Alcobendas01/11Parla Escuela08/11Top Scorers
Pozuelo AlarcónMóstolesCards Given
Pozuelo AlarcónMóstoles