UD Santa Marta vs Cristo Atlético — Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
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UD Santa Marta and Cristo Atlético meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 2026 season on 22 November 2026. UD Santa Marta have recorded 6 wins from 11 matches this season (55% win rate), averaging 1.27 goals scored and 0.82 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 45% of games. Cristo Atlético have won 56% of their 9 matches, with 1.44 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 22%, and clean sheets at 44%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.37 for UD Santa Marta and 0.98 for Cristo Atlético. The models give UD Santa Marta a 42% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Cristo Atlético win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| UD Santa | Home | Away | Cristo Atlético | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 100% | 60% | 89% | 80% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 50% | 20% | 33% | 40% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 17% | 0% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 0% | 40% | 11% | 20% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| UD Santa | Home | Away | Cristo Atlético | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 55% | 33% | 80% | 56% | 40% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 18% | 17% | 20% | 11% | 20% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 45% | 67% | 20% | 44% | 60% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| UD Santa | Cristo Atlético | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 22% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 11% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 45% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 18% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 11% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 18% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| UD Santa | Cristo Atlético | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 36% | 56% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 11% |
| Scored 1st Half | 64% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 22% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 18% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 36% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 18% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 82% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 22% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 9 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 16 | |
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 16 | |
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 14 | |
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 | |
| 5 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +4 | 14 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 13 | |
| 7 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 12 | |
| 8 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 10 | |
| 9 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | -1 | 10 | |
| 10 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +5 | 9 | |
| 11 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -1 | 9 | |
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 | |
| 13 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 6 | |
| 14 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -3 | 6 | |
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5 | |
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -8 | 4 | |
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 4 | |
| 18 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 2 |
Team Insights
- ●UD Santa Marta have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●UD Santa Marta have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●UD Santa Marta have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●67% of UD Santa Marta's goals have been scored at home.
- ●UD Santa Marta have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Cristo Atlético have won their last 5 matches.
- ●Cristo Atlético have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Cristo Atlético have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Cristo Atlético have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Cristo Atlético have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Cristo Atlético have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Cristo Atlético have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.