La Virgen del Camino vs Palencia CF — Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
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La Virgen del Camino and Palencia CF meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 2026 season on 29 November 2026. La Virgen del Camino have recorded 4 wins from 8 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.13 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Palencia CF have won 50% of their 10 matches, with 1.60 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.30 for La Virgen del Camino and 0.98 for Palencia CF. The models give La Virgen del Camino a 39% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Palencia CF win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 40% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
La Virgen del CaminoPalencia CFHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| La Virgen | Home | Away | Palencia CF | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 50% | 75% | 80% | 75% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 25% | 25% | 40% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 25% | 0% | 20% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 50% | 25% | 20% | 25% | 17% |
Goals Conceded
| La Virgen | Home | Away | Palencia CF | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 50% | 75% | 60% | 75% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 0% | 50% | 20% | 0% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 25% | 10% | 0% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 50% | 25% | 40% | 25% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| La Virgen | Palencia CF | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 10% |
| BTTS | 38% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 20% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| La Virgen | Palencia CF | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 30% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 20% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 60% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 30% |
Recent Venue Form
La Virgen (H)
Mirandés II0–0
Atlético Mansillés1–0
Cristo Atlético0–1
Calasanz de Soria4–1
Almazán1–2
Becerril Campos0–1Palencia CF (A)Calasanz de Soria1–0Almazán2–2
Burgos Promesas0–3Mirandés II2–0
Atlético Astorga1–0
Sporting Gijón II1–1Head to Head · 11 matches
La Virgen del CaminoPalencia CFLa Virgen del CaminoPalencia CFLa Virgen del CaminoPalencia CFLa Virgen del CaminoPalencia CFPalencia CFLa Virgen del CaminoLa Virgen del Camino| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cristo Atlético | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | +9 | 19 |
| 2 |  UD Santa Marta | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +5 | 17 |
| 3 |  Cultural Leonesa II | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 16 |
| 4 | Burgos Promesas | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 14 |
| 5 | Palencia CF | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 14 |
| 6 |  Bembibre | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 14 |
| 7 | La Virgen del Camino | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | -1 | 13 |
| 8 | Atlético Mansillés | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 |
| 9 |  Arandina | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Almazán | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 |  Guijuelo | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +5 | 9 |
| 12 |  Villaralbo | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 9 |
| 13 |  Turégano | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 7 |
| 14 | Calasanz de Soria | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 |  Unionistas II | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -5 | 5 |
| 16 |  Colegios Diocesanos | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | -10 | 4 |
| 17 |  Salamanca II | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | -11 | 4 |
| 18 | Mirandés II | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -7 | 3 |
Team Insights
La Virgen- ●La Virgen del Camino have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●La Virgen del Camino have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●80% of La Virgen del Camino's goals conceded were conceded away.
Palencia CF- ●Palencia CF have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Palencia CF have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Palencia CF have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●64% of Palencia CF's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
La VirgenMirandés II0–0Guijuelo1–5Atlético Mansillés1–0Bembibre0–2Cristo Atlético0–1Turégano1–0Unionistas II31/10Arandina08/11Villaralbo15/11Palencia CFTurégano1–1Calasanz de Soria1–0Salamanca II5–1Almazán2–2UD Santa Marta3–0Burgos Promesas0–3Cristo Atlético31/10Bembibre08/11Atlético Mansillés15/11Top Scorers
La VirgenPalencia CFCards Given
La VirgenPalencia CF