UD Santa Marta vs Atlético Mansillés — Tercera División RFEF - Group 8
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UD Santa Marta and Atlético Mansillés meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 8 2026 season on 6 December 2026. UD Santa Marta have recorded 8 wins from 13 matches this season (62% win rate), averaging 1.38 goals scored and 0.77 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 46% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 46%; and clean sheets in 46% of games. Atlético Mansillés have won 38% of their 8 matches, with 1.25 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 38%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.41 for UD Santa Marta and 0.96 for Atlético Mansillés. The models give UD Santa Marta a 50% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Atlético Mansillés win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
UD Santa MartaAtlético MansillésHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| UD Santa | Home | Away | Atlético Mansillés | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 100% | 67% | 88% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 46% | 57% | 33% | 38% | 0% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 8% | 14% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 0% | 33% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| UD Santa | Home | Away | Atlético Mansillés | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 54% | 43% | 67% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 15% | 14% | 17% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 0% | 17% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 46% | 57% | 33% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| UD Santa | Atlético Mansillés | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 92% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 46% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 46% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 38% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 31% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| UD Santa | Atlético Mansillés | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 38% | 63% |
| Loss 1st Half | 23% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 62% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 46% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 15% | 13% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 46% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 23% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
UD Santa (H)
Almazán2–1
Cultural Leonesa II2–0
Salamanca UDS1–2
Colegios Diocesanos3–0
Bergantiños1–0
Vimenor2–1Atlético Mansillés (A)
Arandina2–2
La Virgen del Camino0–1
Bembibre2–0
Turégano2–1Cultural Leonesa II1–1Almazán1–0Head to Head · 4 matches
UD Santa MartaAtlético MansillésUD Santa MartaAtlético Mansillés| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Cristo Atlético | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 22 |
| 2 |  Burgos Promesas | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +12 | 20 |
| 3 | Cultural Leonesa II | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +8 | 20 |
| 4 | UD Santa Marta | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +7 | 20 |
| 5 | La Virgen del Camino | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 16 |
| 6 | Bembibre | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 15 |
| 7 |  Palencia CF | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 14 |
| 8 |  Guijuelo | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +6 | 13 |
| 9 | Almazán | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 13 |
| 10 | Atlético Mansillés | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | +2 | 12 |
| 11 | Arandina | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -1 | 11 |
| 12 |  Villaralbo | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | +2 | 10 |
| 13 | Turégano | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 14 |  Calasanz de Soria | 9 | 2 | 1 | 6 | -8 | 7 |
| 15 |  Unionistas II | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -7 | 5 |
| 16 | Colegios Diocesanos | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -10 | 5 |
| 17 |  Salamanca II | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | -16 | 4 |
| 18 |  Mirandés II | 9 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -9 | 3 |
Team Insights
UD Santa- ●UD Santa Marta have won their last 2 matches.
- ●UD Santa Marta have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●UD Santa Marta have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●UD Santa Marta have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●UD Santa Marta have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●62% of UD Santa Marta's goals have been scored at home.
Atlético Mansillés- ●Atlético Mansillés have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Atlético Mansillés have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
Season Schedule
UD SantaSalamanca II2–0Almazán2–1Mirandés II0–0Burgos Promesas1–1Cultural Leonesa II2–0Palencia CF0–3Calasanz de Soria07/11Turégano15/11Cristo Atlético22/11Atlético MansillésVillaralbo1–1Arandina2–2Unionistas II1–2La Virgen del Camino0–1Mirandés II1–0Bembibre2–0Colegios Diocesanos07/11Palencia CF15/11Cultural Leonesa II22/11Top Scorers
UD SantaAtlético Mansillés