Atlético Porcuna vs Arenas Armilla — Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
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Atlético Porcuna and Arenas Armilla meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Atlético Porcuna have recorded 2 wins from 6 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.17 goals scored and 2.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Arenas Armilla have won 67% of their 6 matches, with 2.17 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 50%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.34 for Atlético Porcuna and 1.11 for Arenas Armilla. The models give Atlético Porcuna a 37% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Arenas Armilla win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Atlético PorcunaArenas ArmillaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Atlético Porcuna | Home | Away | Arenas Armilla | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 100% | 67% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 67% | 0% | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 67% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 0% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Atlético Porcuna | Home | Away | Arenas Armilla | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 67% | 100% | 50% | 67% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 33% | 67% | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 50% | 33% | 67% | 17% | 33% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 33% | 0% | 50% | 33% | 67% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Atlético Porcuna | Arenas Armilla | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 | 67% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 33% |
| BTTS | 67% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Atlético Porcuna | Arenas Armilla | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 50% |
| Draw 1st Half | 17% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 17% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 67% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Atlético Porcuna (H)
Churriana Vega2–3
Granada II2–1
Cantoria1–0
Torre del Mar1–0
UD San Pedro2–3
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno3–1Arenas Armilla (A)Torre del Mar1–0Ciudad de Torredonjimeno1–1
Atletico de Marbella2–0
Peña Deportiva2–5
Motril1–1Torre del Mar1–0Head to Head · 6 matches
Atlético PorcunaArenas ArmillaArenas ArmillaAtlético PorcunaArenas ArmillaAtlético Porcuna| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Melilla | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 18 |
| 2 | Arenas Armilla | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +8 | 14 |
| 3 |  Almería II | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 13 |
| 4 |  Marbelli | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 | Motril | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +4 | 12 |
| 6 |  Málaga II | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 10 |
| 7 | Granada II | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 | Churriana Vega | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 9 | UD San Pedro | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 10 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 | Torre del Mar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 |  Alhaurino | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 | Atlético Porcuna | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 |  Huétor Vega | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | Atletico de Marbella | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Cantoria | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 17 |  Mancha Real | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 2 |
| 18 |  Malaga City | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -12 | 0 |
Team Insights
Atlético Porcuna- ●Atlético Porcuna have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Atlético Porcuna failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●73% of Atlético Porcuna's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●86% of Atlético Porcuna's points have been earned at home.
Arenas Armilla- ●Arenas Armilla have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Arenas Armilla have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Arenas Armilla have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Arenas Armilla have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●69% of Arenas Armilla's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Atlético PorcunaMotril1–1Churriana Vega2–3Almería II0–4Granada II2–1Málaga II1–6Cantoria1–0Melilla18/10Marbelli25/10Arenas Armilla01/11Arenas ArmillaMalaga City5–1Torre del Mar1–0Huétor Vega3–3Ciudad de Torredonjimeno1–1Mancha Real1–0Atletico de Marbella2–0Alhaurino18/10UD San Pedro25/10Atlético Porcuna01/11Top Scorers
Atlético PorcunaArenas ArmillaCards Given
Atlético PorcunaArenas Armilla