Churriana Vega vs Atletico de Marbella — Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
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Churriana Vega and Atletico de Marbella meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Churriana Vega have recorded 3 wins from 6 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 83%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Atletico de Marbella have won 17% of their 6 matches, with 0.50 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 17%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.73 for Churriana Vega and 0.95 for Atletico de Marbella. The models give Churriana Vega a 55% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Atletico de Marbella win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 51%.
Season Statistics
Churriana VegaAtletico de MarbellaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Churriana Vega | Home | Away | Atletico de | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 100% | 67% | 50% | 33% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 67% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 50% | 67% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 67% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Churriana Vega | Home | Away | Atletico de | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 67% | 100% | 83% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 33% | 67% | 33% | 33% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 33% | 0% | 17% | 33% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Churriana Vega | Atletico de | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 83% | 17% |
| Over 3.5 | 50% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 0% |
| BTTS | 67% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 67% | 17% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Churriana Vega | Atletico de | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 17% | 67% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 17% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 67% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 83% | 17% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 83% | 83% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 83% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 17% | 17% |
Recent Venue Form
Churriana Vega (H)
Cantoria3–0
UD San Pedro1–3
Malaga City4–1
Motril1–1UD San Pedro1–1
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno1–0Atletico de (A)
Granada II1–2
Málaga II0–1Cantoria1–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Melilla | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | +10 | 18 |
| 2 |  Arenas Armilla | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +8 | 14 |
| 3 |  Almería II | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +7 | 13 |
| 4 |  Marbelli | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 13 |
| 5 | Motril | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | +4 | 12 |
| 6 | Málaga II | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 10 |
| 7 | Granada II | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 | Churriana Vega | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 9 | UD San Pedro | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 9 |
| 10 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Torre del Mar | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 7 |
| 12 |  Alhaurino | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 |
| 13 |  Atlético Porcuna | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -8 | 7 |
| 14 |  Huétor Vega | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -4 | 5 |
| 15 | Atletico de Marbella | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Cantoria | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 3 |
| 17 |  Mancha Real | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 2 |
| 18 | Malaga City | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | -12 | 0 |
Team Insights
Churriana Vega- ●Churriana Vega have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Churriana Vega have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●67% of Churriana Vega's goals have been scored at home.
Atletico de- ●Atletico de Marbella have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Atletico de Marbella have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Atletico de Marbella have lost their last 2 away matches.
Season Schedule
Churriana VegaCantoria3–0Atlético Porcuna3–2UD San Pedro1–3Alhaurino1–2Malaga City4–1Torre del Mar0–1Málaga II18/10Granada II25/10Almería II01/11Atletico deGranada II1–2Ciudad de Torredonjimeno0–1Málaga II0–1Mancha Real1–0Cantoria1–1Arenas Armilla0–2Huétor Vega18/10Almería II25/10Torre del Mar01/11Top Scorers
Churriana VegaAtletico deCards Given
Churriana VegaAtletico de