Atletico de Marbella vs Malaga City — Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
← Back
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
billed annually · cancel anytime
Atletico de Marbella and Malaga City meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Atletico de Marbella have recorded 1 wins from 8 matches this season (13% win rate), averaging 0.88 goals scored and 1.38 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Malaga City have won 0% of their 8 matches, with 0.75 goals scored and 2.75 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 75%, Over 2.5 at 75%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.83 for Atletico de Marbella and 1.00 for Malaga City. The models give Atletico de Marbella a 56% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Malaga City win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Atletico de MarbellaMalaga CityHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Atletico de | Home | Away | Malaga City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 63% | 50% | 75% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 25% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 50% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Atletico de | Home | Away | Malaga City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 75% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 50% | 50% | 88% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 38% | 0% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Atletico de | Malaga City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 75% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 38% |
| BTTS | 50% | 75% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 38% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 75% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Atletico de | Malaga City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 75% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 75% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 13% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 88% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 25% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 88% | 88% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 38% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Atletico de (H)
Huétor Vega2–2
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno0–1
Mancha Real1–0
Arenas Armilla0–2Malaga City (A)Ciudad de Torredonjimeno1–4Arenas Armilla1–5
Melilla0–2
Churriana Vega1–4Arenas Armilla2–3
Real Jaén0–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melilla | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +10 | 21 |
| 2 |  Almería II | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 | Arenas Armilla | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 4 |  Motril | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 5 |  Marbelli | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |  UD San Pedro | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 |  Málaga II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 | Churriana Vega | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 10 |  Granada II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 11 |  Atlético Porcuna | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 10 |
| 12 |  Alhaurino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 |  Torre del Mar | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Huétor Vega | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | Atletico de Marbella | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Mancha Real | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 |  Cantoria | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 18 | Malaga City | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -13 | 0 |
Team Insights
Atletico de- ●Atletico de Marbella have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Atletico de Marbella failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Atletico de Marbella have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
Malaga City- ●Malaga City have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●Malaga City have lost their last 8 matches.
- ●Malaga City failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Malaga City have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Malaga City have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Malaga City have lost their last 4 home matches.
- ●Malaga City have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●Malaga City have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●68% of Malaga City's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Atletico deAlmería II2–2Huétor Vega2–2Granada II1–2Ciudad de Torredonjimeno0–1Málaga II0–1Mancha Real1–0Torre del Mar01/11Churriana Vega08/11Malaga City15/11Malaga CityCiudad de Torredonjimeno1–4Mancha Real1–2Arenas Armilla1–5Marbelli0–1Melilla0–2Motril1–2Huétor Vega01/11Torre del Mar08/11Atletico de Marbella15/11Top Scorers
Atletico deMalaga CityCards Given
Atletico deMalaga City