Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 · Group 9 - 11

Churriana Vega

8º · 1.50 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 35d 5h

–

Motril

5º · 2.00 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 35d 0h

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Churriana Vega and Motril meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Churriana Vega have recorded 3 wins from 6 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 83%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Motril have won 43% of their 7 matches, with 1.29 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 29%, and clean sheets at 29%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.62 for Churriana Vega and 1.18 for Motril. The models give Churriana Vega a 42% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Motril win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 56%.

Season Statistics

Churriana Vega

—

Motril

8º

Position

5º

1.50

PPG

2.00

50%

Win %

50%

2.00

Goals / game

1.50

Conceded / game

0.83

67%

BTTS %

57%

17%

Clean sheet %

29%

83%

Over 2.5 %

29%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Churriana Vega

Home (3)

—

Motril

Away (3)

2.00

PPG

2.33

67%

Win %

67%

2.67

Goals / game

1.67

1.33

Conceded / game

1.00

67%

BTTS %

67%

33%

Clean sheet %

33%

100%

Over 2.5 %

67%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Churriana Vega	Home	Away	Motril	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	83%	100%	67%	71%	75%	67%
Over 1.5 Scored	50%	67%	33%	43%	25%	67%
Over 2.5 Scored	50%	67%	33%	14%	0%	33%
Failed To Score	17%	0%	33%	29%	25%	33%

Goals Conceded

	Churriana Vega	Home	Away	Motril	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	83%	67%	100%	71%	75%	67%
Over 1.5 Conceded	50%	33%	67%	29%	25%	33%
Over 2.5 Conceded	17%	33%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Clean Sheets	17%	33%	0%	29%	25%	33%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Churriana Vega	Motril
Over 0.5	100%	86%
Over 1.5	83%	86%
Over 2.5	83%	29%
Over 3.5	50%	14%
Over 4.5	33%	14%
BTTS	67%	57%
BTTS & Win	33%	29%
BTTS & Draw	0%	29%
BTTS & Over 2.5	67%	29%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	17%	0%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Churriana Vega	Motril
Win 1st Half	33%	0%
Draw 1st Half	17%	57%
Loss 1st Half	50%	43%
Scored 1st Half	33%	14%
Conceded 1st Half	50%	57%
Win 2nd Half	50%	43%
Draw 2nd Half	17%	43%
Loss 2nd Half	33%	14%
Scored 2nd Half	83%	57%
Conceded 2nd Half	83%	43%
Over 0.5 HT	83%	57%
Over 1.5 HT	17%	14%

Recent Venue Form

Churriana Vega (H)

Cantoria3–0

UD San Pedro1–3

Malaga City4–1

Motril1–1

UD San Pedro1–1

Ciudad de Torredonjimeno1–0

Motril (A)

UD San Pedro3–2

Malaga City2–1

Huétor Vega0–0

Arenas Armilla0–1

Churriana Vega1–1

UD Melilla II0–0

Head to Head · 4 matches

Churriana Vega

Draws

50%

Motril

50%

75%

Over 1.5

3/4

50%

Over 2.5

2/4

50%

Over 3.5

2/4

50%

BTTS

2/4

24/05/26

Motril

0–0

Churriana Vega

17/05/26

Churriana Vega

1–1

Motril

11/02/26

Motril

4–0

Churriana Vega

28/09/25

Churriana Vega

2–3

Motril

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Melilla	6	6	0	0	+10	18
2	Arenas Armilla	6	4	2	0	+8	14
3	Almería II	6	4	1	1	+7	13
4	Marbelli	6	4	1	1	+3	13
5	Motril	6	3	3	0	+4	12
6	Málaga II	6	3	1	2	+6	10
7	Granada II	6	3	1	2	+4	10
8	Churriana Vega	6	3	0	3	+3	9
9	UD San Pedro	6	3	0	3	-3	9
10	Ciudad de Torredonjimeno	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Torre del Mar	6	2	1	3	0	7
12	Alhaurino	6	2	1	3	-2	7
13	Atlético Porcuna	6	2	1	3	-8	7
14	Huétor Vega	6	1	2	3	-4	5
15	Atletico de Marbella	6	1	1	4	-4	4
16	Cantoria	6	0	3	3	-6	3
17	Mancha Real	6	0	2	4	-7	2
18	Malaga City	6	0	0	6	-12	0