Huétor Vega vs Atlético Porcuna — Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
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Huétor Vega and Atlético Porcuna meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Huétor Vega have recorded 1 wins from 7 matches this season (14% win rate), averaging 1.43 goals scored and 2.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 86%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Atlético Porcuna have won 43% of their 7 matches, with 1.29 goals scored and 2.14 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.92 for Huétor Vega and 0.95 for Atlético Porcuna. The models give Huétor Vega a 53% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Atlético Porcuna win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Huétor VegaAtlético PorcunaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Huétor Vega | Home | Away | Atlético Porcuna | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 67% | 75% | 86% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 33% | 50% | 43% | 75% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 33% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 33% | 25% | 14% | 0% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Huétor Vega | Home | Away | Atlético Porcuna | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 33% | 100% | 71% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 71% | 33% | 100% | 43% | 25% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 57% | 33% | 75% | 43% | 25% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 67% | 0% | 29% | 50% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Huétor Vega | Atlético Porcuna | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 86% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 57% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 29% |
| BTTS | 57% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 57% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 29% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Huétor Vega | Atlético Porcuna | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 29% | 14% |
| Loss 1st Half | 43% | 43% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 57% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Huétor Vega (H)
Mancha Real3–0
Marbelli1–3
Motril0–0
Martos4–0Marbelli1–1
Arenas Armilla1–1Atlético Porcuna (A)Motril1–1
Almería II0–4
Málaga II1–6Motril1–2
El Palo2–1
Alhaurino0–3Head to Head · 11 matches
Huétor VegaAtlético PorcunaAtlético PorcunaHuétor VegaAtlético PorcunaHuétor VegaHuétor VegaAtlético PorcunaHuétor VegaAtlético PorcunaHuétor Vega| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Melilla | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +8 | 18 |
| 2 | Almería II | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 | Arenas Armilla | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 4 | Motril | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 5 | Marbelli | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |  UD San Pedro | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Málaga II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |  Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 |  Churriana Vega | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 10 |  Granada II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 11 | Atlético Porcuna | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 10 |
| 12 | Alhaurino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 |  Torre del Mar | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Huétor Vega | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Atletico de Marbella | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Mancha Real | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 |  Cantoria | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 3 |
| 18 |  Malaga City | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -13 | 0 |
Team Insights
Huétor Vega- ●Huétor Vega have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Huétor Vega have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●79% of Huétor Vega's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Huétor Vega have conceded 57% of their goals in the first half.
Atlético Porcuna- ●Atlético Porcuna have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●78% of Atlético Porcuna's goals have been scored at home.
- ●73% of Atlético Porcuna's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●90% of Atlético Porcuna's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Huétor VegaAtletico de Marbella2–2Ciudad de Torredonjimeno1–3Mancha Real3–0Arenas Armilla3–3Marbelli1–3Melilla0–3Torre del Mar25/10Malaga City01/11Alhaurino08/11Atlético PorcunaMelilla2–0Motril1–1Churriana Vega2–3Almería II0–4Granada II2–1Málaga II1–6Marbelli25/10Arenas Armilla01/11Mancha Real08/11Top Scorers
Huétor VegaAtlético PorcunaCards Given
Huétor VegaAtlético Porcuna