Mancha Real vs Málaga II — Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
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Mancha Real and Málaga II meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Mancha Real have recorded 1 wins from 7 matches this season (14% win rate), averaging 0.71 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 0% of games. Málaga II have won 43% of their 7 matches, with 1.86 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.49 for Mancha Real and 1.14 for Málaga II. The models give Mancha Real a 41% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Málaga II win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 53%.
Season Statistics
Mancha RealMálaga IIHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Mancha Real | Home | Away | Málaga II | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 57% | 100% | 25% | 86% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 14% | 0% | 25% | 43% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 43% | 0% | 75% | 14% | 0% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Mancha Real | Home | Away | Málaga II | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 100% | 100% | 100% | 71% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 33% | 25% | 29% | 0% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 33% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 0% | 0% | 0% | 29% | 50% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Mancha Real | Málaga II | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 14% |
| BTTS | 57% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Mancha Real | Málaga II | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 14% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 43% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 71% | 29% |
| Win 2nd Half | 14% | 57% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 57% | 14% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 14% | 71% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 86% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 14% |
Recent Venue Form
Mancha Real (H)
Torre del Mar1–3
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno1–1
Marbelli1–1Ciudad de Torredonjimeno1–2
Huétor Vega2–1
UD Melilla II0–0Málaga II (A)
Almería II1–2
Cantoria2–2
UD San Pedro0–1
Puente Genil1–2
Ucam Murcia0–4
La Unión Atlético1–3Head to Head · 5 matches
Mancha RealMálaga IIMancha RealMálaga IIMancha Real| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Melilla | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +8 | 18 |
| 2 | Almería II | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 |  Arenas Armilla | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 4 |  Motril | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 5 | Marbelli | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 | UD San Pedro | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Málaga II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 |  Churriana Vega | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 10 |  Granada II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 11 |  Atlético Porcuna | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 10 |
| 12 |  Alhaurino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Torre del Mar | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Huétor Vega | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Atletico de Marbella | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Mancha Real | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 | Cantoria | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 3 |
| 18 |  Malaga City | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -13 | 0 |
Team Insights
Mancha Real- ●Mancha Real failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Mancha Real have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Málaga II- ●Málaga II have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Málaga II have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Málaga II have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●77% of Málaga II's goals have been scored at home.
- ●91% of Málaga II's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Mancha RealMalaga City2–1Torre del Mar1–3Huétor Vega0–3Ciudad de Torredonjimeno1–1Atletico de Marbella0–1Arenas Armilla0–1Alhaurino25/10UD San Pedro01/11Atlético Porcuna08/11Málaga IIChurriana Vega1–1Almería II1–2Granada II2–0Atletico de Marbella1–0Cantoria2–2Atlético Porcuna6–1Motril25/10Melilla01/11Marbelli08/11Top Scorers
Mancha RealMálaga IICards Given
Mancha RealMálaga II