Marbelli vs Almería II — Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
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Marbelli and Almería II meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Marbelli have recorded 4 wins from 7 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 1.14 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 29%; and clean sheets in 29% of games. Almería II have won 71% of their 7 matches, with 1.71 goals scored and 0.57 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 43%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.25 for Marbelli and 0.98 for Almería II. The models give Marbelli a 42% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Almería II win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 38% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
MarbelliAlmería IIHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Marbelli | Home | Away | Almería II | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 67% | 75% | 86% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 33% | 25% | 57% | 100% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 0% | 25% | 14% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 33% | 25% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Marbelli | Home | Away | Almería II | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 71% | 67% | 75% | 57% | 33% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 33% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 29% | 33% | 25% | 43% | 67% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Marbelli | Almería II | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 29% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 14% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 43% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 29% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Marbelli | Almería II | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 57% |
| Draw 1st Half | 57% | 43% |
| Loss 1st Half | 14% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 43% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 0% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 43% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 14% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 43% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 57% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Marbelli (H)
Alhaurino0–2
Torre del Mar1–0
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno2–1
Granada II0–1
Huétor Tájar2–1
Martos1–2Almería II (A)Granada II1–0
Cantoria1–1
UD San Pedro0–1
Malaga City2–1
Águilas0–2
Yeclano1–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Melilla | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +8 | 18 |
| 2 | Almería II | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 |  Arenas Armilla | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 4 |  Motril | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 5 | Marbelli | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 | UD San Pedro | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 |  Málaga II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 |  Churriana Vega | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 10 | Granada II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 11 |  Atlético Porcuna | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 10 |
| 12 | Alhaurino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Torre del Mar | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Huétor Vega | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Atletico de Marbella | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mancha Real | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 | Cantoria | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 3 |
| 18 | Malaga City | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -13 | 0 |
Team Insights
Marbelli- ●62% of Marbelli's goals have been scored away.
Almería II- ●Almería II have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Almería II have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●67% of Almería II's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Almería II have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
MarbelliUD San Pedro0–2Alhaurino0–2Malaga City1–0Torre del Mar1–0Huétor Vega3–1Ciudad de Torredonjimeno2–1Atlético Porcuna25/10Cantoria01/11Málaga II08/11Almería IIGranada II1–0Málaga II2–1Cantoria1–1Atlético Porcuna4–0UD San Pedro0–1Alhaurino2–0Atletico de Marbella25/10Churriana Vega01/11Motril08/11Top Scorers
MarbelliAlmería II