Melilla vs Churriana Vega — Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
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Melilla and Churriana Vega meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Melilla have recorded 6 wins from 8 matches this season (75% win rate), averaging 1.63 goals scored and 0.75 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Churriana Vega have won 43% of their 7 matches, with 1.86 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 71%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.67 for Melilla and 0.85 for Churriana Vega. The models give Melilla a 55% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Churriana Vega win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 47%.
Season Statistics
MelillaChurriana VegaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Melilla | Home | Away | Churriana Vega | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 75% | 75% | 86% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 75% | 75% | 75% | 43% | 67% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 25% | 0% | 43% | 67% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 25% | 25% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Melilla | Home | Away | Churriana Vega | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 25% | 100% | 86% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 25% | 43% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 14% | 33% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 75% | 0% | 14% | 33% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Melilla | Churriana Vega | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 29% |
| BTTS | 38% | 71% |
| BTTS & Win | 38% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 57% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Melilla | Churriana Vega | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 63% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 13% | 14% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 57% |
| Scored 1st Half | 75% | 29% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 38% | 57% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 14% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 86% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 25% | 71% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 14% |
Recent Venue Form
Melilla (H)
UD San Pedro2–0
Malaga City2–0
Huétor Vega3–0
Conil0–1
Linares Deportivo2–4
Águilas0–1Churriana Vega (A)
Málaga II1–1
Atlético Porcuna3–2
Alhaurino1–2
Torre del Mar0–1
Motril0–0
El Palo2–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melilla | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Almería II | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 |  Arenas Armilla | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 4 | Motril | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 5 |  Marbelli | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 | UD San Pedro | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Málaga II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |  Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 | Churriana Vega | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 10 |  Granada II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 11 | Atlético Porcuna | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 10 |
| 12 | Alhaurino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Torre del Mar | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Huétor Vega | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Atletico de Marbella | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mancha Real | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 |  Cantoria | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 3 |
| 18 | Malaga City | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -13 | 0 |
Team Insights
Melilla- ●Melilla have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Melilla have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Melilla have scored 69% of their goals in the first half.
Churriana Vega- ●Churriana Vega have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Churriana Vega have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●62% of Churriana Vega's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
MelillaAtlético Porcuna0–2UD San Pedro2–0Alhaurino2–1Malaga City2–0Torre del Mar2–1Huétor Vega3–0Cantoria25/10Málaga II01/11Granada II08/11Churriana VegaMálaga II1–1Cantoria3–0Atlético Porcuna3–2UD San Pedro1–3Alhaurino1–2Malaga City4–1Granada II25/10Almería II01/11Atletico de Marbella08/11Top Scorers
MelillaChurriana VegaCards Given
MelillaChurriana Vega