Motril vs Atletico de Marbella — Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
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Motril and Atletico de Marbella meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Motril have recorded 4 wins from 8 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.38 goals scored and 0.88 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 25%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Atletico de Marbella have won 14% of their 7 matches, with 0.71 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 29%, and clean sheets at 14%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.47 for Motril and 0.86 for Atletico de Marbella. The models give Motril a 56% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Atletico de Marbella win at 18%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
MotrilAtletico de MarbellaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Motril | Home | Away | Atletico de | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 75% | 75% | 57% | 50% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 25% | 75% | 14% | 25% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 25% | 25% | 43% | 50% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Motril | Home | Away | Atletico de | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 75% | 50% | 86% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 25% | 25% | 43% | 50% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 25% | 50% | 14% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Motril | Atletico de | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 | 25% | 29% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 14% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 0% |
| BTTS | 50% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Motril | Atletico de | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 14% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 71% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 57% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 29% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 86% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Motril (H)
Atlético Porcuna1–1
Alhaurino2–0
Torre del Mar1–1
Recreativo Huelva0–2
Arenas Armilla1–1
Churriana Vega0–0Atletico de (A)
Granada II1–2
Málaga II0–1
Cantoria1–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Melilla | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +8 | 18 |
| 2 |  Almería II | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 | Arenas Armilla | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 4 | Motril | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 5 |  Marbelli | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |  UD San Pedro | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Málaga II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 |  Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 | Churriana Vega | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 10 | Granada II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 11 | Atlético Porcuna | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 10 |
| 12 | Alhaurino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Torre del Mar | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Huétor Vega | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | Atletico de Marbella | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mancha Real | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 | Cantoria | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -8 | 3 |
| 18 |  Malaga City | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -13 | 0 |
Team Insights
Motril- ●Motril have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Motril have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Motril have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Motril have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Motril have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●64% of Motril's goals have been scored away.
- ●67% of Motril's points have been earned away.
Atletico de- ●Atletico de Marbella have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Atletico de Marbella have lost their last 2 away matches.
Season Schedule
MotrilCantoria2–0Atlético Porcuna1–1UD San Pedro3–2Alhaurino2–0Malaga City2–1Torre del Mar1–1Málaga II25/10Granada II01/11Almería II08/11Atletico deHuétor Vega2–2Granada II1–2Ciudad de Torredonjimeno0–1Málaga II0–1Mancha Real1–0Cantoria1–1Almería II25/10Torre del Mar01/11Churriana Vega08/11Top Scorers
MotrilAtletico deCards Given
MotrilAtletico de