Churriana Vega vs Marbelli — Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
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Churriana Vega and Marbelli meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Churriana Vega have recorded 3 wins from 7 matches this season (43% win rate), averaging 1.86 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 71% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Marbelli have won 57% of their 7 matches, with 1.14 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 29%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Churriana Vega and 1.10 for Marbelli. The models give Churriana Vega a 45% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Marbelli win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Churriana VegaMarbelliHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Churriana Vega | Home | Away | Marbelli | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 75% | 75% | 71% | 67% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 50% | 25% | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 38% | 50% | 25% | 14% | 0% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 25% | 25% | 29% | 33% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Churriana Vega | Home | Away | Marbelli | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 50% | 100% | 71% | 67% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 38% | 25% | 50% | 29% | 33% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 50% | 0% | 29% | 33% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Churriana Vega | Marbelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 29% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 14% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 0% |
| BTTS | 63% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 29% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Churriana Vega | Marbelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 29% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 25% | 43% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 75% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 29% |
Recent Venue Form
Churriana Vega (H)
Granada II0–0
Cantoria3–0
UD San Pedro1–3
Malaga City4–1
Motril1–1UD San Pedro1–1Marbelli (A)UD San Pedro0–2Malaga City1–0
Huétor Vega3–1
Mancha Real1–1
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno2–0Huétor Vega1–1Head to Head · 2 matches
Churriana VegaMarbelli| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Melilla | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +10 | 21 |
| 2 |  Almería II | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 |  Arenas Armilla | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 4 | Motril | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 5 | Marbelli | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 | UD San Pedro | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 |  Málaga II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 | Churriana Vega | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 10 | Granada II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 11 |  Atlético Porcuna | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 10 |
| 12 |  Alhaurino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 |  Torre del Mar | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Huétor Vega | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Atletico de Marbella | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Mancha Real | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 | Cantoria | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 18 | Malaga City | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -13 | 0 |
Team Insights
Churriana Vega- ●Churriana Vega have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Churriana Vega have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●62% of Churriana Vega's goals have been scored at home.
Marbelli- ●62% of Marbelli's goals have been scored away.
Season Schedule
Churriana VegaGranada II0–0Málaga II1–1Cantoria3–0Atlético Porcuna3–2UD San Pedro1–3Alhaurino1–2Almería II01/11Atletico de Marbella08/11Motril15/11MarbelliUD San Pedro0–2Alhaurino0–2Malaga City1–0Torre del Mar1–0Huétor Vega3–1Ciudad de Torredonjimeno2–1Atlético Porcuna25/10Cantoria01/11Málaga II08/11Top Scorers
Churriana VegaMarbelliCards Given
Churriana VegaMarbelli