Motril vs Melilla — Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
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Motril and Melilla meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Motril have recorded 4 wins from 8 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.38 goals scored and 0.88 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 25%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Melilla have won 78% of their 9 matches, with 1.67 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 44%, and clean sheets at 44%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.46 for Motril and 1.04 for Melilla. The models give Motril a 48% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Melilla win at 25%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 46% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Motril
MelillaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Motril | Home | Away | Melilla | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 75% | 75% | 78% | 80% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 25% | 75% | 78% | 80% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 0% | 25% | 11% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 25% | 25% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Motril | Home | Away | Melilla | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 75% | 50% | 56% | 20% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 25% | 25% | 11% | 0% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 25% | 50% | 44% | 80% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Motril | Melilla | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 88% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 25% | 44% |
| Over 3.5 | 13% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 0% |
| BTTS | 50% | 33% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 25% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 25% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Motril | Melilla | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 67% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 11% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 78% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 11% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 22% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 13% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Motril (H)
Atlético Porcuna1–1
Alhaurino2–0
Torre del Mar1–1
Recreativo Huelva0–2
Arenas Armilla1–1
Churriana Vega0–0Melilla (A)Atlético Porcuna0–2Alhaurino2–1Torre del Mar2–1
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno2–1
Málaga II3–3Recreativo Huelva0–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melilla | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | +10 | 21 |
| 2 |  Almería II | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +8 | 16 |
| 3 | Arenas Armilla | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 15 |
| 4 | Motril | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | +6 | 15 |
| 5 |  Marbelli | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 13 |
| 6 |  UD San Pedro | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 12 |
| 7 | Málaga II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +6 | 11 |
| 8 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +3 | 11 |
| 9 | Churriana Vega | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 10 |  Granada II | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | +3 | 10 |
| 11 | Atlético Porcuna | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | -6 | 10 |
| 12 | Alhaurino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Torre del Mar | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 |  Huétor Vega | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 |  Atletico de Marbella | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 |  Mancha Real | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -6 | 5 |
| 17 |  Cantoria | 8 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10 | 3 |
| 18 |  Malaga City | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | -13 | 0 |
Team Insights
Motril- ●Motril have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Motril have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Motril have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Motril have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Motril have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●64% of Motril's goals have been scored away.
- ●67% of Motril's points have been earned away.
Melilla- ●Melilla have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Melilla have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Melilla have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Melilla have scored 67% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
MotrilCantoria2–0Atlético Porcuna1–1UD San Pedro3–2Alhaurino2–0Malaga City2–1Torre del Mar1–1Málaga II25/10Granada II01/11Almería II08/11MelillaCantoria2–0Atlético Porcuna0–2UD San Pedro2–0Alhaurino2–1Malaga City2–0Torre del Mar2–1Málaga II01/11Granada II08/11Almería II15/11Top Scorers
MotrilMelillaCards Given
MotrilMelilla