Marbelli vs Motril — Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
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Marbelli and Motril meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Marbelli have recorded 4 wins from 9 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 0.89 goals scored and 0.78 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 22%; and clean sheets in 44% of games. Motril have won 40% of their 10 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 30%, and clean sheets at 30%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.07 for Marbelli and 1.08 for Motril. The models give Marbelli a 35% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Motril win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 37% and BTTS at 44%.
Season Statistics
Marbelli
MotrilHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Marbelli | Home | Away | Motril | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 56% | 50% | 60% | 80% | 80% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 22% | 25% | 20% | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 11% | 0% | 20% | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 44% | 50% | 40% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
Goals Conceded
| Marbelli | Home | Away | Motril | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 56% | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 25% | 20% | 30% | 40% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 44% | 50% | 40% | 30% | 20% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Marbelli | Motril | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 78% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 56% | 90% |
| Over 2.5 | 22% | 30% |
| Over 3.5 | 11% | 20% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 20% |
| BTTS | 33% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 22% | 30% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Marbelli | Motril | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 10% |
| Draw 1st Half | 67% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 20% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 22% | 60% |
| Win 2nd Half | 22% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 56% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 10% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 33% | 70% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 44% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 22% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Marbelli (H)
Atlético Porcuna0–0
Alhaurino0–2
Torre del Mar1–0
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno2–1
Granada II0–1
Huétor Tájar2–1Motril (A)Granada II1–1
Cantoria2–0
UD San Pedro3–2
Malaga City2–1
Huétor Vega0–0
Arenas Armilla0–1Head to Head · 4 matches
MarbelliMotrilMotrilMarbelli| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Melilla | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 22 |
| 2 | Arenas Armilla | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | +9 | 19 |
| 3 |  Almería II | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 | Motril | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +4 | 16 |
| 6 |  Málaga II | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +8 | 15 |
| 7 | Marbelli | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 | UD San Pedro | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 |  Churriana Vega | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 12 |
| 10 | Granada II | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 12 |
| 11 | Atlético Porcuna | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 12 |
| 12 | Huétor Vega | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Torre del Mar | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 | Alhaurino | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 |  Atletico de Marbella | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 |  Mancha Real | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 | Cantoria | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
| 18 | Malaga City | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -17 | 0 |
Team Insights
Marbelli- ●Marbelli have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Marbelli have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●62% of Marbelli's goals have been scored away.
Motril- ●Motril have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Motril have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Motril have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Motril have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Motril have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●69% of Motril's points have been earned away.
- ●Motril have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
MarbelliCantoria0–0Atlético Porcuna0–0UD San Pedro0–2Alhaurino0–2Malaga City1–0Torre del Mar1–0Málaga II08/11Granada II15/11Almería II22/11MotrilGranada II1–1Málaga II2–4Cantoria2–0Atlético Porcuna1–1UD San Pedro3–2Alhaurino2–0Almería II08/11Churriana Vega15/11Atletico de Marbella22/11Top Scorers
MarbelliMotrilCards Given
MarbelliMotril