Melilla vs Atletico de Marbella — Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
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Melilla and Atletico de Marbella meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Melilla have recorded 7 wins from 10 matches this season (70% win rate), averaging 1.70 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Atletico de Marbella have won 11% of their 9 matches, with 0.78 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.64 for Melilla and 0.76 for Atletico de Marbella. The models give Melilla a 60% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Atletico de Marbella win at 16%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 43%.
Season Statistics
MelillaAtletico de MarbellaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Melilla | Home | Away | Atletico de | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 80% | 80% | 56% | 40% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 80% | 80% | 80% | 22% | 20% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 20% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 20% | 20% | 44% | 60% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Melilla | Home | Away | Atletico de | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 20% | 100% | 78% | 60% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 0% | 40% | 44% | 40% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 80% | 0% | 22% | 40% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Melilla | Atletico de | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 90% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 40% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 30% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 33% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Melilla | Atletico de | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 60% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 20% | 78% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 11% |
| Scored 1st Half | 80% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 56% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 10% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 33% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 30% | 78% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 100% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Melilla (H)
Cantoria2–0
UD San Pedro2–0
Malaga City2–0
Huétor Vega3–0
Conil0–1
Linares Deportivo2–4Atletico de (A)
Almería II2–2
Granada II1–2
Málaga II0–1Cantoria1–1| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melilla | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +10 | 22 |
| 2 |  Arenas Armilla | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | +9 | 19 |
| 3 | Almería II | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +8 | 18 |
| 4 |  Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +7 | 17 |
| 5 |  Motril | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +4 | 16 |
| 6 | Málaga II | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +8 | 15 |
| 7 |  Marbelli | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 15 |
| 8 | UD San Pedro | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 |  Churriana Vega | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 12 |
| 10 | Granada II | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +3 | 12 |
| 11 |  Atlético Porcuna | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -6 | 12 |
| 12 | Huétor Vega | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 |  Torre del Mar | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -2 | 9 |
| 14 |  Alhaurino | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -3 | 9 |
| 15 | Atletico de Marbella | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | -4 | 7 |
| 16 |  Mancha Real | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | -8 | 6 |
| 17 | Cantoria | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -10 | 4 |
| 18 | Malaga City | 9 | 0 | 0 | 9 | -17 | 0 |
Team Insights
Melilla- ●Melilla have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Melilla have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Melilla have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Melilla failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Melilla failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Melilla have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Melilla have scored 65% of their goals in the first half.
Atletico de- ●Atletico de Marbella have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
Season Schedule
MelillaMálaga II2–2Cantoria2–0Atlético Porcuna0–2UD San Pedro2–0Alhaurino2–1Malaga City2–0Granada II08/11Almería II15/11Churriana Vega22/11Atletico deTorre del Mar0–0Almería II2–2Huétor Vega2–2Granada II1–2Ciudad de Torredonjimeno0–1Málaga II0–1Churriana Vega08/11Malaga City15/11Motril22/11Top Scorers
MelillaAtletico deCards Given
MelillaAtletico de