Atletico de Marbella vs UD San Pedro — Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
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Atletico de Marbella and UD San Pedro meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 2026 season on 8 December 2026. Atletico de Marbella have recorded 1 wins from 10 matches this season (10% win rate), averaging 0.70 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 30%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. UD San Pedro have won 45% of their 11 matches, with 1.09 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 27%, Over 2.5 at 36%, and clean sheets at 36%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.36 for Atletico de Marbella and 0.93 for UD San Pedro. The models give Atletico de Marbella a 41% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an UD San Pedro win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 40% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
Atletico de MarbellaUD San PedroHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Atletico de | Home | Away | UD San | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 50% | 40% | 60% | 64% | 100% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 20% | 20% | 20% | 36% | 60% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 9% | 0% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 50% | 60% | 40% | 36% | 0% | 67% |
Goals Conceded
| Atletico de | Home | Away | UD San | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 60% | 100% | 64% | 20% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 40% | 60% | 45% | 20% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 27% | 20% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 40% | 0% | 36% | 80% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Atletico de | UD San | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 36% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 9% |
| BTTS | 40% | 27% |
| BTTS & Win | 0% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 27% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Atletico de | UD San | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 10% | 45% |
| Draw 1st Half | 80% | 27% |
| Loss 1st Half | 10% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 40% | 27% |
| Win 2nd Half | 0% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 50% | 18% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 45% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 30% | 45% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 80% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 50% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 18% |
Recent Venue Form
Atletico de (H)
Torre del Mar0–0
Huétor Vega2–2
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno0–1
Mancha Real1–0
Arenas Armilla0–2UD San (A)Ciudad de Torredonjimeno1–3Arenas Armilla0–1
Melilla0–2
Churriana Vega3–1
Granada II0–4
Cacereño0–2| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melilla | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 23 |
| 2 | Arenas Armilla | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | +10 | 22 |
| 3 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 20 |
| 4 |  Almería II | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 19 |
| 5 |  Málaga II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +9 | 18 |
| 6 |  Motril | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 17 |
| 7 | Churriana Vega | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 15 |
| 8 |  Marbelli | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | UD San Pedro | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 | Granada II | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 11 | Huétor Vega | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 |  Atlético Porcuna | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -6 | 13 |
| 13 | Torre del Mar | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Alhaurino | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 | Atletico de Marbella | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | Mancha Real | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 |  Cantoria | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -11 | 4 |
| 18 |  Malaga City | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | -18 | 0 |
Team Insights
Atletico de- ●Atletico de Marbella have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Atletico de Marbella failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Atletico de Marbella have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Atletico de Marbella failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
UD San- ●UD San Pedro have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●UD San Pedro have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●UD San Pedro have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●UD San Pedro have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●UD San Pedro failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●UD San Pedro have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●UD San Pedro failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●UD San Pedro have lost 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●67% of UD San Pedro's goals have been scored at home.
- ●79% of UD San Pedro's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●80% of UD San Pedro's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Atletico deChurriana Vega0–2Torre del Mar0–0Almería II2–2Huétor Vega2–2Granada II1–2Ciudad de Torredonjimeno0–1Malaga City15/11Motril22/11Alhaurino29/11UD SanCiudad de Torredonjimeno1–3Mancha Real2–0Arenas Armilla0–1Marbelli2–0Melilla0–2Motril2–3Huétor Vega15/11Torre del Mar22/11Malaga City29/11Top Scorers
Atletico deUD SanCards Given
Atletico deUD San