Melilla vs Marbelli — Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
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Melilla and Marbelli meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 2026 season on 8 December 2026. Melilla have recorded 7 wins from 11 matches this season (64% win rate), averaging 1.55 goals scored and 0.73 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 36% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 45% of games. Marbelli have won 40% of their 10 matches, with 0.80 goals scored and 0.80 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 30%, Over 2.5 at 20%, and clean sheets at 40%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.31 for Melilla and 0.71 for Marbelli. The models give Melilla a 52% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Marbelli win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 33% and BTTS at 37%.
Season Statistics
Melilla
MarbelliHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Melilla | Home | Away | Marbelli | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 67% | 80% | 50% | 40% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 73% | 67% | 80% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 17% | 0% | 10% | 0% | 20% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 33% | 20% | 50% | 60% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| Melilla | Home | Away | Marbelli | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 55% | 17% | 100% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 18% | 0% | 40% | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 45% | 83% | 0% | 40% | 40% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Melilla | Marbelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 | 82% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 20% |
| Over 3.5 | 9% | 10% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 36% | 30% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 36% | 20% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Melilla | Marbelli | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 55% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 70% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 10% |
| Scored 1st Half | 73% | 30% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 20% |
| Win 2nd Half | 36% | 20% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 55% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 9% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 55% | 30% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 27% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 91% | 40% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 45% | 20% |
Recent Venue Form
Melilla (H)
Granada II0–0
Cantoria2–0
UD San Pedro2–0
Malaga City2–0
Huétor Vega3–0
Conil0–1Marbelli (A)Cantoria0–0UD San Pedro0–2Malaga City1–0Huétor Vega3–1
Mancha Real1–1
Ciudad de Torredonjimeno2–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Melilla | 10 | 7 | 2 | 1 | +10 | 23 |
| 2 |  Arenas Armilla | 10 | 6 | 4 | 0 | +10 | 22 |
| 3 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 20 |
| 4 |  Almería II | 10 | 5 | 4 | 1 | +8 | 19 |
| 5 |  Málaga II | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | +9 | 18 |
| 6 |  Motril | 10 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 17 |
| 7 |  Churriana Vega | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | +5 | 15 |
| 8 | Marbelli | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 15 |
| 9 | UD San Pedro | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -2 | 15 |
| 10 | Granada II | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | +3 | 13 |
| 11 | Huétor Vega | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -2 | 13 |
| 12 |  Atlético Porcuna | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | -6 | 13 |
| 13 |  Torre del Mar | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 |  Alhaurino | 10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -4 | 9 |
| 15 |  Atletico de Marbella | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -6 | 7 |
| 16 | Mancha Real | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -8 | 7 |
| 17 | Cantoria | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -11 | 4 |
| 18 | Malaga City | 10 | 0 | 0 | 10 | -18 | 0 |
Team Insights
Melilla- ●Melilla have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Melilla have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Melilla have kept a clean sheet in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Melilla failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Melilla have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Melilla failed to keep a clean sheet in 5 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Melilla have won 3 of their 5 away matches.
- ●Melilla have scored 65% of their goals in the first half.
Marbelli- ●Marbelli have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●62% of Marbelli's goals have been scored away.
Season Schedule
MelillaGranada II0–0Málaga II2–2Cantoria2–0Atlético Porcuna0–2UD San Pedro2–0Alhaurino2–1Almería II15/11Churriana Vega22/11Motril29/11MarbelliMálaga II0–1Cantoria0–0Atlético Porcuna0–0UD San Pedro0–2Alhaurino0–2Malaga City1–0Granada II15/11Almería II22/11Churriana Vega29/11Top Scorers
MelillaMarbelliCards Given
MelillaMarbelli