Utrera vs Xerez Deportivo — Tercera División RFEF - Group 10
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Utrera and Xerez Deportivo meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 10 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Utrera have recorded 5 wins from 7 matches this season (71% win rate), averaging 1.43 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Xerez Deportivo have won 40% of their 10 matches, with 1.30 goals scored and 1.30 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 10%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.62 for Utrera and 1.03 for Xerez Deportivo. The models give Utrera a 51% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Xerez Deportivo win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 52%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Utrera | Home | Away | Xerez Deportivo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 86% | 100% | 75% | 70% | 67% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 57% | 67% | 50% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 14% | 0% | 25% | 30% | 33% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Utrera | Home | Away | Xerez Deportivo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 57% | 33% | 75% | 90% | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 0% | 50% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 0% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 43% | 67% | 25% | 10% | 17% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Utrera | Xerez Deportivo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 40% |
| Over 3.5 | 14% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 20% |
| BTTS | 43% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 30% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 30% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 43% | 40% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Utrera | Xerez Deportivo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 30% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 10% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 40% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 6 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 16 | |
| 2 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | |
| 3 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +6 | 14 | |
| 4 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 14 | |
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 14 | |
| 6 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +6 | 13 | |
| 7 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 11 | |
| 8 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 | |
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 11 | |
| 10 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 9 | |
| 11 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | -5 | 9 | |
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | |
| 13 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -2 | 7 | |
| 14 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 7 | |
| 15 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -1 | 6 | |
| 16 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -3 | 5 | |
| 17 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 5 | |
| 18 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -7 | 2 |
Team Insights
- ●Utrera have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Utrera have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●90% of Utrera's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Utrera have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Xerez Deportivo have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Xerez Deportivo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Xerez Deportivo have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Xerez Deportivo have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Xerez Deportivo have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.