Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 · Group 12 - 8

Estrella

11º · 1.40 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 14d 0h

–

Real Unión de Tenerife

2º · 2.40 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 13d 22h

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Estrella and Real Unión de Tenerife meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Estrella have recorded 2 wins from 5 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.80 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Real Unión de Tenerife have won 80% of their 5 matches, with 1.60 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 20%, Over 2.5 at 40%, and clean sheets at 80%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.66 for Estrella and 1.12 for Real Unión de Tenerife. The models give Estrella a 47% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Real Unión de Tenerife win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 54%.

Season Statistics

Estrella

—

Real Unión de Tenerife

11º

Position

2º

1.40

PPG

2.40

40%

Win %

80%

1.40

Goals / game

1.60

1.80

Conceded / game

0.60

60%

BTTS %

20%

Clean sheet %

80%

60%

Over 2.5 %

40%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Estrella

Home (3)

—

Real Unión de Tenerife

Away (2)

2.33

PPG

1.50

67%

Win %

50%

1.67

Goals / game

2.00

0.67

Conceded / game

1.50

67%

BTTS %

50%

33%

Clean sheet %

50%

33%

Over 2.5 %

100%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Estrella	Home	Away	Real Unión	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	80%	100%	50%	100%	100%	100%
Over 1.5 Scored	40%	33%	50%	40%	33%	50%
Over 2.5 Scored	20%	33%	0%	20%	0%	50%
Failed To Score	20%	0%	50%	0%	0%	0%

Goals Conceded

	Estrella	Home	Away	Real Unión	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	80%	67%	100%	20%	0%	50%
Over 1.5 Conceded	40%	0%	100%	20%	0%	50%
Over 2.5 Conceded	40%	0%	100%	20%	0%	50%
Clean Sheets	20%	33%	0%	80%	100%	50%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Estrella	Real Unión
Over 0.5	100%	100%
Over 1.5	80%	60%
Over 2.5	60%	40%
Over 3.5	40%	20%
Over 4.5	20%	0%
BTTS	60%	20%
BTTS & Win	20%	0%
BTTS & Draw	20%	0%
BTTS & Over 2.5	40%	20%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	20%	20%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Estrella	Real Unión
Win 1st Half	0%	40%
Draw 1st Half	40%	60%
Loss 1st Half	60%	0%
Scored 1st Half	20%	40%
Conceded 1st Half	60%	0%
Win 2nd Half	60%	60%
Draw 2nd Half	0%	20%
Loss 2nd Half	40%	20%
Scored 2nd Half	80%	80%
Conceded 2nd Half	60%	20%
Over 0.5 HT	60%	40%
Over 1.5 HT	20%	0%

Recent Venue Form

Estrella (H)

Los Llanos1–0

Las Palmas III1–1

Villaverde Norte3–1

Herbania2–1

Santa Úrsula1–1

Marino2–2

Real Unión (A)

Playas Sotavento3–0

Marino1–3

Lanzarote0–0

Herbania0–1

Panadería Pulido1–2

Marino0–0

Tercera División RFEF - Group 12

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	UD San Fernando	5	4	0	1	+10	12
2	Real Unión de Tenerife	5	4	0	1	+5	12
3	San Miguel	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	Panadería Pulido	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Mensajero	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	San Bartolomé	5	2	3	0	+3	9
7	Las Palmas III	5	2	2	1	+3	8
8	Marino	5	2	1	2	+5	7
9	Tenerife C	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Los Llanos	5	2	1	2	0	7
11	Estrella	5	2	1	2	-2	7
12	Lanzarote	5	1	3	1	0	6
12	San Fernando CD	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	Villa Santa Brígida	5	1	3	1	0	6
14	Unión Sur Yaiza	5	2	0	3	-1	6
15	Anaza	5	1	1	3	-5	4
16	Laguna de Duero	5	0	1	4	-6	1
17	Villaverde Norte	5	0	1	4	-8	1
18	Playas Sotavento	5	0	1	4	-15	1

Team Insights

Estrella

●Estrella have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
●Estrella have lost their last 2 away matches.
●78% of Estrella's goals conceded were conceded away.
●100% of Estrella's points have been earned at home.

Real Unión

●Real Unión de Tenerife have won their last 3 matches.
●Real Unión de Tenerife have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
●Real Unión de Tenerife have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
●Real Unión de Tenerife have won their last 3 home matches.
●Real Unión de Tenerife have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
●75% of Real Unión de Tenerife's points have been earned at home.

Estrella

WHLos Llanos10º1–0

LAUD San Fernando1º0–3

DHLas Palmas III7º1–1

LASan Bartolomé6º2–4

WHVillaverde Norte17º3–1

WHHerbania12º2–1

LASan Bartolomé10º0–1

DHSanta Úrsula13º1–1

DABuzanada15º1–1

DHMarino8º2–2

Real Unión de Tenerife