San Miguel vs Villaverde Norte — Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
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San Miguel and Villaverde Norte meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 2026 season on 24 October 2026. San Miguel have recorded 3 wins from 5 matches this season (60% win rate), averaging 1.60 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 20%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. Villaverde Norte have won 0% of their 5 matches, with 0.80 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 80%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.20 for San Miguel and 0.92 for Villaverde Norte. The models give San Miguel a 64% win probability, with a draw at 21% and an Villaverde Norte win at 15%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
San MiguelVillaverde NorteHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| San Miguel | Home | Away | Villaverde Norte | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 100% | 67% | 80% | 100% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 100% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 0% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| San Miguel | Home | Away | Villaverde Norte | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 50% | 67% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 80% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 40% | 0% | 67% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 50% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| San Miguel | Villaverde Norte | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 80% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 20% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 20% |
| BTTS | 40% | 80% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| San Miguel | Villaverde Norte | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 60% | 25% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 20% | 25% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 20% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 60% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 0% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 40% | 75% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 40% | 100% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 40% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 0% | 0% |
Recent Venue Form
San Miguel (H)
Tenerife C2–0
Villa Santa Brígida3–1
Panadería Pulido1–1
Marino2–0
UD San Fernando1–2Tenerife C2–1Villaverde Norte (A)Tenerife C1–4Villa Santa Brígida0–2
Estrella1–3| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD San Fernando | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +10 | 12 |
| 2 |  Real Unión de Tenerife | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 3 | San Miguel | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 | Panadería Pulido | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 5 |  Mensajero | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 6 |  San Bartolomé | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |  Las Palmas III | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 | Marino | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 7 |
| 9 | Tenerife C | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Los Llanos | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 | Estrella | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 |  Lanzarote | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 |  San Fernando CD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Villa Santa Brígida | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 |  Unión Sur Yaiza | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 |  Anaza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |  Laguna de Duero | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 1 |
| 17 | Villaverde Norte | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 1 |
| 18 |  Playas Sotavento | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -15 | 1 |
Team Insights
San Miguel- ●San Miguel have won their last 2 matches.
- ●San Miguel have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●San Miguel have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●63% of San Miguel's goals have been scored at home.
Villaverde Norte- ●Villaverde Norte have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Villaverde Norte have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Villaverde Norte failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Villaverde Norte have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Villaverde Norte have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Villaverde Norte have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●75% of Villaverde Norte's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
San MiguelAnaza2–0Tenerife C2–0Mensajero0–1Villa Santa Brígida3–1Lanzarote1–1Panadería Pulido17/10Estrella21/10Villaverde Norte24/10Villaverde NorteTenerife C1–4Mensajero1–2Villa Santa Brígida0–2Lanzarote1–1Estrella1–3Anaza17/10Unión Sur Yaiza21/10San Miguel24/10Top Scorers
San MiguelVillaverde Norte