Unión Sur Yaiza vs Laguna de Duero — Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
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Unión Sur Yaiza and Laguna de Duero meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Unión Sur Yaiza have recorded 2 wins from 5 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.20 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 40%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Laguna de Duero have won 0% of their 5 matches, with 1.20 goals scored and 2.40 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 60%, Over 2.5 at 80%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.70 for Unión Sur Yaiza and 0.93 for Laguna de Duero. The models give Unión Sur Yaiza a 52% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Laguna de Duero win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Unión Sur YaizaLaguna de DueroHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Unión Sur | Home | Away | Laguna de | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 67% | 50% | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 60% | 67% | 50% | 40% | 67% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 20% | 33% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 33% | 50% | 40% | 33% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Unión Sur | Home | Away | Laguna de | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 80% | 67% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 0% | 50% | 80% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 0% | 50% | 40% | 67% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 20% | 33% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Unión Sur | Laguna de | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 40% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 | 20% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 20% | 20% |
| BTTS | 40% | 60% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 0% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 60% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 20% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Unión Sur | Laguna de | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 0% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 75% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 25% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 0% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 0% | 0% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 75% | 100% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 25% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 75% | 100% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 25% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Unión Sur (H)
Marino2–1
UD San Fernando2–0
San Bartolomé0–1
Telde2–1
Arucas3–0
Mensajero1–0Laguna de (A)
Real Unión de Tenerife0–1
Los Llanos1–2
Cristo Atlético1–4
Atlético Mansillés0–5
Almazán2–2
Bembibre1–3| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD San Fernando | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +10 | 12 |
| 2 | Real Unión de Tenerife | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 3 |  San Miguel | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 |  Panadería Pulido | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 5 | Mensajero | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 6 | San Bartolomé | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |  Las Palmas III | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 | Marino | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 7 |
| 9 |  Tenerife C | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 | Los Llanos | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |  Estrella | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 |  Lanzarote | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 |  San Fernando CD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Villa Santa Brígida | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Unión Sur Yaiza | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 |  Anaza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Laguna de Duero | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 1 |
| 17 |  Villaverde Norte | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 1 |
| 18 |  Playas Sotavento | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -15 | 1 |
Team Insights
Unión Sur- ●Unión Sur Yaiza have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Unión Sur Yaiza have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●100% of Unión Sur Yaiza's points have been earned at home.
Laguna de- ●Laguna de Duero have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Laguna de Duero failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Laguna de Duero have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●75% of Laguna de Duero's goals conceded were conceded at home.
Season Schedule
Unión SurMarino2–1Los Llanos0–1UD San Fernando2–0Las Palmas III2–4San Bartolomé0–1Real Unión de Tenerife17/10Villaverde Norte21/10Laguna de Duero24/10Laguna dePanadería Pulido3–4Real Unión de Tenerife0–1Marino2–2Los Llanos1–2UD San Fernando0–3Playas Sotavento17/10Las Palmas III21/10Unión Sur Yaiza24/10Top Scorers
Unión SurLaguna deCards Given
Unión SurLaguna de