Mensajero vs Marino — Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
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Mensajero and Marino meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Mensajero have recorded 3 wins from 6 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.17 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. Marino have won 33% of their 6 matches, with 2.17 goals scored and 2.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 83%, Over 2.5 at 100%, and clean sheets at 0%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.76 for Mensajero and 1.09 for Marino. The models give Mensajero a 57% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Marino win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Mensajero
MarinoHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Mensajero | Home | Away | Marino | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 83% | 100% | 50% | 83% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 25% | 50% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 33% | 50% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 17% | 0% | 50% | 17% | 25% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Mensajero | Home | Away | Marino | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 50% | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 50% | 0% | 67% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 17% | 25% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Mensajero | Marino | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 50% | 100% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 33% |
| BTTS | 50% | 83% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 33% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 83% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 17% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Mensajero | Marino | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 67% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 0% | 50% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 0% | 67% |
| Win 2nd Half | 17% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 17% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 67% | 67% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 0% | 67% |
Recent Venue Form
Mensajero (H)
San Bartolomé2–2
San Miguel1–0
Tenerife C1–0
Real Murcia1–2
Tamaraceite1–0
UD San Fernando1–0Marino (A)
Unión Sur Yaiza1–2
Laguna de Duero2–2
Villa Santa Brígida0–3San Miguel0–2Tamaraceite2–2
Tenisca1–1Head to Head · 7 matches
MensajeroMarinoMensajeroMarinoMarinoMensajeroMarino| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD San Fernando | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +10 | 12 |
| 2 |  Real Unión de Tenerife | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +5 | 12 |
| 3 | San Miguel | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +5 | 10 |
| 4 |  Panadería Pulido | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 10 |
| 5 | Mensajero | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 10 |
| 6 | San Bartolomé | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |  Las Palmas III | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +3 | 8 |
| 8 | Marino | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 7 |
| 9 | Tenerife C | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |  Los Llanos | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |  Estrella | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 12 |  Lanzarote | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 12 |  San Fernando CD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Villa Santa Brígida | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 |
| 14 | Unión Sur Yaiza | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 6 |
| 15 |  Anaza | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 | Laguna de Duero | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -6 | 1 |
| 17 |  Villaverde Norte | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -8 | 1 |
| 18 |  Playas Sotavento | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -15 | 1 |
Team Insights
Mensajero- ●Mensajero have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Mensajero have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
Marino- ●Marino failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Marino have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Marino have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●77% of Marino's goals have been scored at home.
- ●86% of Marino's points have been earned at home.
- ●Marino have conceded 63% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
MensajeroSan Bartolomé2–2Villaverde Norte2–1San Miguel1–0Anaza0–1Tenerife C1–0Las Palmas III17/10Panadería Pulido21/10UD San Fernando25/10MarinoUnión Sur Yaiza1–2Playas Sotavento6–1Laguna de Duero2–2Real Unión de Tenerife3–1Panadería Pulido1–2Estrella18/10Los Llanos21/10Lanzarote25/10Top Scorers
MensajeroMarinoCards Given
MensajeroMarino