Unión Sur Yaiza vs Estrella — Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
← Back
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
billed annually · cancel anytime
Unión Sur Yaiza and Estrella meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 2026 season on 14 November 2026. Unión Sur Yaiza have recorded 4 wins from 8 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 1.38 goals scored and 1.13 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Estrella have won 25% of their 8 matches, with 0.88 goals scored and 1.75 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 13%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.07 for Unión Sur Yaiza and 0.83 for Estrella. The models give Unión Sur Yaiza a 61% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Estrella win at 16%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Unión Sur YaizaEstrellaHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Unión Sur | Home | Away | Estrella | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 75% | 75% | 50% | 75% | 25% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 75% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 25% | 0% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 25% | 25% | 50% | 25% | 75% |
Goals Conceded
| Unión Sur | Home | Away | Estrella | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 75% | 75% | 88% | 75% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 25% | 38% | 0% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 25% | 38% | 0% | 75% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 25% | 25% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Unión Sur | Estrella | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 25% | 25% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 13% |
| BTTS | 50% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 38% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Unión Sur | Estrella | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 13% | 0% |
| Draw 1st Half | 63% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 63% |
| Scored 1st Half | 25% | 13% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 63% |
| Win 2nd Half | 50% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 13% | 13% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 50% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 63% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 38% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 13% |
Recent Venue Form
Unión Sur (H)
Laguna de Duero3–1
Marino2–1
UD San Fernando2–0
San Bartolomé0–1
Telde2–1
Arucas3–0Estrella (A)
San Miguel0–3Marino0–1UD San Fernando0–3San Bartolomé2–4San Bartolomé0–1
Buzanada1–1Head to Head · 2 matches
EstrellaUnión Sur Yaiza| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD San Fernando | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +15 | 18 |
| 2 |  Panadería Pulido | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 17 |
| 3 | San Miguel | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +10 | 16 |
| 4 |  Real Unión de Tenerife | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 |  Tenerife C | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 | Marino | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 13 |
| 7 |  Las Palmas III | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 13 |
| 8 | Unión Sur Yaiza | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 |  Mensajero | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 |  Los Llanos | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 | San Bartolomé | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 |  Anaza | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 12 |  San Fernando CD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Villa Santa Brígida | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 |  Lanzarote | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Estrella | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 |  Playas Sotavento | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -15 | 4 |
| 17 | Laguna de Duero | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 2 |
| 18 |  Villaverde Norte | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -14 | 2 |
Team Insights
Unión Sur- ●Unión Sur Yaiza have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Unión Sur Yaiza have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●64% of Unión Sur Yaiza's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Unión Sur Yaiza's goals conceded were conceded away.
Estrella- ●Estrella have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Estrella have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Estrella have lost their last 4 away matches.
- ●79% of Estrella's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●100% of Estrella's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
Unión SurLaguna de Duero3–1Villaverde Norte1–0Real Unión de Tenerife1–1Marino2–1Los Llanos0–1UD San Fernando2–0Playas Sotavento31/10Panadería Pulido07/11Estrella14/11EstrellaReal Unión de Tenerife0–1San Miguel0–3Marino0–1Los Llanos1–0UD San Fernando0–3Las Palmas III1–1Laguna de Duero31/10Playas Sotavento07/11Unión Sur Yaiza14/11Top Scorers
Unión SurEstrellaCards Given
Unión SurEstrella