Marino vs San Miguel — Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
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Marino and San Miguel meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Marino have recorded 4 wins from 8 matches this season (50% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.88 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 75% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 88%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. San Miguel have won 63% of their 8 matches, with 2.13 goals scored and 0.88 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 38%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.90 for Marino and 1.06 for San Miguel. The models give Marino a 49% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an San Miguel win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
MarinoSan MiguelHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Marino | Home | Away | San Miguel | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 80% | 75% | 88% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 40% | 50% | 63% | 100% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 40% | 0% | 38% | 75% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 20% | 25% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Marino | Home | Away | San Miguel | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 80% | 100% | 50% | 25% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 40% | 50% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 20% | 0% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 20% | 0% | 50% | 75% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Marino | San Miguel | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 88% |
| Over 2.5 | 78% | 50% |
| Over 3.5 | 44% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 25% |
| BTTS | 67% | 38% |
| BTTS & Win | 33% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 67% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 25% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Marino | San Miguel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 44% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 56% | 25% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 63% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 0% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 75% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Marino (H)
Estrella1–0
Playas Sotavento6–1
Real Unión de Tenerife3–1
Panadería Pulido1–2
Tenerife0–6
Arucas1–2San Miguel (A)Panadería Pulido1–4
Anaza2–0
Mensajero0–1
Lanzarote1–1
Las Palmas III1–0
Telde3–1Head to Head · 2 matches
MarinoSan Miguel| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  UD San Fernando | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +15 | 18 |
| 2 | Panadería Pulido | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | +11 | 17 |
| 3 | San Miguel | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +10 | 16 |
| 4 | Real Unión de Tenerife | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 16 |
| 5 |  Tenerife C | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 14 |
| 6 | Marino | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +7 | 13 |
| 7 | Las Palmas III | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | +6 | 13 |
| 8 |  Unión Sur Yaiza | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 13 |
| 9 | Mensajero | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 11 |
| 10 |  Los Llanos | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | +1 | 10 |
| 11 |  San Bartolomé | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10 |
| 12 | Anaza | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 12 |  San Fernando CD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Villa Santa Brígida | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 9 |
| 14 | Lanzarote | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -3 | 7 |
| 15 | Estrella | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | -7 | 7 |
| 16 | Playas Sotavento | 8 | 0 | 4 | 4 | -15 | 4 |
| 17 |  Laguna de Duero | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -11 | 2 |
| 18 |  Villaverde Norte | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -14 | 2 |
Team Insights
Marino- ●Marino have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Marino have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●69% of Marino's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Marino have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
San Miguel- ●San Miguel have won their last 2 matches.
- ●San Miguel have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●San Miguel have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●San Miguel have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●San Miguel have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●San Miguel have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●76% of San Miguel's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of San Miguel's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
MarinoLanzarote0–1Los Llanos2–1Estrella1–0Unión Sur Yaiza1–2Playas Sotavento6–1Laguna de Duero2–2Villa Santa Brígida01/11Mensajero08/11Tenerife C15/11San MiguelVillaverde Norte5–0Estrella3–0Panadería Pulido1–4Anaza2–0Tenerife C2–0Mensajero0–1San Bartolomé31/10Las Palmas III07/11UD San Fernando15/11Top Scorers
MarinoSan MiguelCards Given
MarinoSan Miguel