Las Palmas III vs UD San Fernando — Tercera División RFEF - Group 12
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Las Palmas III and UD San Fernando meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 12 2026 season on 5 December 2026. Las Palmas III have recorded 4 wins from 9 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. UD San Fernando have won 78% of their 9 matches, with 2.56 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 22%, Over 2.5 at 67%, and clean sheets at 67%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.78 for Las Palmas III and 1.19 for UD San Fernando. The models give Las Palmas III a 45% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an UD San Fernando win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Las Palmas III—
UD San Fernando5º
Position
1º
1.78
PPG
2.44
44%
Win %
78%
2.00
Goals / game
2.56
1.00
Conceded / game
0.67
67%
BTTS %
22%
33%
Clean sheet %
67%
56%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Las Palmas III
Home (5)
—
UD San Fernando
Away (4)
2.00
PPG
1.75
60%
Win %
50%
2.60
Goals / game
1.50
1.20
Conceded / game
1.00
60%
BTTS %
25%
40%
Clean sheet %
50%
100%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Las Palmas | Home | Away | UD San | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 100% | 100% | 100% | 89% | 100% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 80% | 25% | 78% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 33% | 60% | 0% | 56% | 80% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 0% | 0% | 0% | 11% | 0% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Las Palmas | Home | Away | UD San | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 60% | 75% | 33% | 20% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 60% | 0% | 33% | 20% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 40% | 25% | 67% | 80% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Las Palmas | UD San | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 44% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 22% |
| BTTS | 67% | 22% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 44% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 22% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 44% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Las Palmas | UD San | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 67% | 89% |
| Draw 1st Half | 22% | 11% |
| Loss 1st Half | 11% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 89% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 22% | 11% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 56% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 22% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 78% | 78% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 56% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 22% | 11% |
Recent Venue Form
Las Palmas (H)W
Anaza3–0
Anaza3–0W
Laguna de Duero3–0
Laguna de Duero3–0D
Mensajero2–2
Mensajero2–2L
Lanzarote1–2
Lanzarote1–2W
Unión Sur Yaiza4–2
Unión Sur Yaiza4–2L
San Miguel0–1
San Miguel0–1UD San (A)DMensajero2–2
Mensajero2–2WLanzarote1–0
Lanzarote1–0LUnión Sur Yaiza0–2
Unión Sur Yaiza0–2WLaguna de Duero3–0
Laguna de Duero3–0L
Tamaraceite0–3
Tamaraceite0–3W
Panadería Pulido2–0
Panadería Pulido2–0Head to Head · 5 matches
1
Las Palmas
20%
1
Draws
20%
3
UD San
60%
100%
Over 1.5
5/5
80%
Over 2.5
4/5
40%
Over 3.5
2/5
80%
BTTS
4/5
07/02/26UD San Fernando
Las Palmas III
2–2UD San Fernando28/09/25Las Palmas III
UD San Fernando
2–1Las Palmas III07/04/21Las Palmas III
UD San Fernando
2–1Las Palmas III24/10/20UD San Fernando
Las Palmas III
1–3UD San Fernando21/12/19UD San Fernando
Las Palmas III
2–0UD San Fernando| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | UD San Fernando | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +17 | 22 |
| 2 | Panadería Pulido | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | +16 | 20 |
| 3 | San Miguel | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | +11 | 19 |
| 4 |  Real Unión de Tenerife | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +5 | 17 |
| 5 | Las Palmas III | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | +9 | 16 |
| 6 | Unión Sur Yaiza | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 16 |
| 7 |  Marino | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +6 | 14 |
| 8 |  Tenerife C | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 14 |
| 9 |  Los Llanos | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | +3 | 13 |
| 10 | Mensajero | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 12 |
| 11 | Lanzarote | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 |  San Bartolomé | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -1 | 10 |
| 12 |  San Fernando CD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 |  Estrella | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -4 | 10 |
| 14 |  Villa Santa Brígida | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -4 | 10 |
| 15 | Anaza | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | -7 | 9 |
| 16 |  Playas Sotavento | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -17 | 4 |
| 17 | Laguna de Duero | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -14 | 2 |
| 18 |  Villaverde Norte | 9 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -19 | 2 |
Team Insights
Las Palmas- ●Las Palmas III have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Las Palmas III have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Las Palmas III have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Las Palmas III have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Las Palmas III have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Las Palmas III have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Las Palmas III have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●72% of Las Palmas III's goals have been scored at home.
- ●67% of Las Palmas III's goals conceded were conceded at home.
UD San- ●UD San Fernando have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●UD San Fernando have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●UD San Fernando have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●UD San Fernando have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●UD San Fernando have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●UD San Fernando have kept a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●74% of UD San Fernando's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Las PalmasWHAnaza3–0
Anaza3–0DATenerife C1–1
Tenerife C1–1WHLaguna de Duero3–0
Laguna de Duero3–0DHMensajero2–2
Mensajero2–2DAVilla Santa Brígida1–1
Villa Santa Brígida1–1LHLanzarote1–2
Lanzarote1–2–ASan Miguel07/11
San Miguel07/11–HVillaverde Norte14/11
Villaverde Norte14/11–ASan Bartolomé21/11
San Bartolomé21/11UD SanWHTenerife C2–0
Tenerife C2–0DAMensajero2–2
Mensajero2–2WHReal Unión de Tenerife3–2
Real Unión de Tenerife3–2WHVilla Santa Brígida4–0
Villa Santa Brígida4–0WALanzarote1–0
Lanzarote1–0WHEstrella3–0
Estrella3–0–AAnaza07/11
Anaza07/11–HSan Miguel15/11
San Miguel15/11–AVillaverde Norte21/11
Villaverde Norte21/11Top Scorers
Las PalmasO. Isem4 ⚽
L. Szczesnowicz3 ⚽
M. Estevez2 ⚽
D. Delgado2 ⚽
G. Camacho1 ⚽
A. Diaz1 ⚽
UD SanA. Frieh5 ⚽
S. Ougri4 ⚽
3 ⚽
J. Rodriguez Alonso3 ⚽
S. Serbourdin3 ⚽
C. Ribalta2 ⚽