Spain · Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 · Group 14 - 9

Villafranca

13º · 1.20 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 22d 23h

–

Castuera

4º · 2.40 PPG

Days Since Last Match: 21d 7h

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Villafranca and Castuera meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Villafranca have recorded 2 wins from 5 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 1.40 goals scored and 1.60 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 60% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 20% of games. Castuera have won 80% of their 5 matches, with 2.60 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 20%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 60%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.33 for Villafranca and 1.25 for Castuera. The models give Villafranca a 41% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Castuera win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 48% and BTTS at 53%.

Season Statistics

Villafranca

—

Castuera

13º

Position

4º

1.20

PPG

2.40

40%

Win %

80%

1.40

Goals / game

2.60

1.60

Conceded / game

0.60

60%

BTTS %

20%

Clean sheet %

60%

Over 2.5 %

60%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

Avg fouls

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Home vs Away

Villafranca

Home (2)

—

Castuera

Away (2)

0.00

PPG

1.50

Win %

50%

0.50

Goals / game

1.00

2.50

Conceded / game

1.50

50%

BTTS %

50%

Clean sheet %

50%

Over 2.5 %

50%

0.0

Avg corners

0.0

Avg shots

0.0

Avg shots on target

0.0

Avg yellow cards

0.0

0.0%

Avg possession

0.0%

Goals Scored

	Villafranca	Home	Away	Castuera	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Scored	80%	50%	100%	80%	100%	50%
Over 1.5 Scored	40%	0%	67%	60%	67%	50%
Over 2.5 Scored	20%	0%	33%	40%	67%	0%
Failed To Score	20%	50%	0%	20%	0%	50%

Goals Conceded

	Villafranca	Home	Away	Castuera	Home	Away
Over 0.5 Conceded	80%	100%	67%	40%	0%	100%
Over 1.5 Conceded	40%	50%	33%	20%	0%	50%
Over 2.5 Conceded	20%	50%	0%	0%	0%	0%
Clean Sheets	20%	0%	33%	60%	100%	0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

	Villafranca	Castuera
Over 0.5	100%	100%
Over 1.5	80%	80%
Over 2.5	60%	60%
Over 3.5	40%	40%
Over 4.5	20%	40%
BTTS	60%	20%
BTTS & Win	20%	20%
BTTS & Draw	0%	0%
BTTS & Over 2.5	60%	20%
BTTS No & Over 2.5	0%	40%

1st Half / 2nd Half

	Villafranca	Castuera
Win 1st Half	20%	40%
Draw 1st Half	20%	40%
Loss 1st Half	60%	20%
Scored 1st Half	20%	60%
Conceded 1st Half	60%	40%
Win 2nd Half	20%	80%
Draw 2nd Half	60%	0%
Loss 2nd Half	20%	20%
Scored 2nd Half	80%	80%
Conceded 2nd Half	60%	20%
Over 0.5 HT	80%	80%
Over 1.5 HT	20%	40%

Recent Venue Form

Villafranca (H)

Villanovense0–1

Azuaga1–4

Jerez2–1

Don Benito1–0

Azuaga0–2

Calamonte1–0

Castuera (A)

Jerez2–1

Puebla Calzada0–2

Badajoz0–1

Atlético Pueblonuevo2–1

Extremadura 19240–2

Arroyo2–2

Head to Head · 4 matches

Villafranca

25%

Draws

50%

Castuera

25%

50%

Over 1.5

2/4

25%

Over 2.5

1/4

Over 3.5

0/4

50%

BTTS

2/4

09/02/25

Castuera

1–2

Villafranca

29/09/24

Villafranca

0–0

Castuera

03/03/24

Castuera

1–1

Villafranca

15/10/23

Villafranca

0–1

Castuera

Tercera División RFEF - Group 14

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Azuaga	6	5	0	1	+10	15
2	Moralo	6	4	2	0	+6	14
3	Llerenense	5	4	1	0	+4	13
4	Castuera	5	4	0	1	+10	12
5	Villanovense	6	3	1	2	+3	10
6	Puebla Calzada	6	2	2	2	+2	8
7	CD Zafra	5	2	2	1	+2	8
8	Gévora	6	2	2	2	-2	8
9	Jerez	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Montijo	6	2	1	3	-2	7
11	Santa Amalia	5	1	3	1	+1	6
12	Cabeza Buey	6	1	3	2	0	6
13	Villafranca	5	2	0	3	-1	6
14	Jaraíz	6	1	2	3	-3	5
15	Quintana	5	1	2	2	-3	5
16	Atlético Pueblonuevo	6	0	3	3	-10	3
17	Plasencia	5	0	2	3	-6	2
18	Guadiana	6	0	1	5	-12	1