Cabeza Buey vs Castuera — Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
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Cabeza Buey and Castuera meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 2026 season on 15 November 2026. Cabeza Buey have recorded 1 wins from 6 matches this season (17% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 67% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Castuera have won 80% of their 5 matches, with 2.60 goals scored and 0.60 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 20%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 60%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.34 for Cabeza Buey and 1.06 for Castuera. The models give Cabeza Buey a 44% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Castuera win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Cabeza Buey | Home | Away | Castuera | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 67% | 67% | 67% | 80% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 17% | 0% | 33% | 60% | 67% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 0% | 33% | 40% | 67% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 33% | 33% | 20% | 0% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Cabeza Buey | Home | Away | Castuera | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 100% | 67% | 40% | 0% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 17% | 33% | 0% | 20% | 0% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 0% | 33% | 60% | 100% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Cabeza Buey | Castuera | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 80% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 40% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 40% |
| BTTS | 67% | 20% |
| BTTS & Win | 17% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 20% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 40% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Cabeza Buey | Castuera | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 17% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 40% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 60% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 40% |
| Win 2nd Half | 17% | 80% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 67% | 0% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 17% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 80% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 20% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 67% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | +10 | 15 | |
| 2 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | +6 | 14 | |
| 3 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | +4 | 13 | |
| 4 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | +10 | 12 | |
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 10 | |
| 6 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 8 | |
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +2 | 8 | |
| 8 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | -2 | 8 | |
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 7 | |
| 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | -2 | 7 | |
| 11 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +1 | 6 | |
| 12 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6 | |
| 13 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -1 | 6 | |
| 14 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 5 | |
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -3 | 5 | |
| 16 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -10 | 3 | |
| 17 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -6 | 2 | |
| 18 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -12 | 1 |
Team Insights
- ●Cabeza Buey have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Cabeza Buey have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●83% of Cabeza Buey's points have been earned away.
- ●Castuera have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Castuera have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Castuera have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Castuera have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●85% of Castuera's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Castuera's points have been earned at home.