Castuera vs Azuaga — Tercera División RFEF - Group 14

Castuera and Azuaga meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Castuera have recorded 4 wins from 6 matches this season (67% win rate), averaging 2.33 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 67%; and clean sheets in 50% of games. Azuaga have won 86% of their 7 matches, with 2.43 goals scored and 0.86 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 43%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.94 for Castuera and 1.04 for Azuaga. The models give Castuera a 49% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Azuaga win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 57% and BTTS at 55%.