Moralo vs Llerenense — Tercera División RFEF - Group 14

Moralo and Llerenense meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Moralo have recorded 5 wins from 7 matches this season (71% win rate), averaging 2.00 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 86% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 14% of games. Llerenense have won 83% of their 6 matches, with 1.17 goals scored and 0.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 33%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 67%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.34 for Moralo and 0.98 for Llerenense. The models give Moralo a 50% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Llerenense win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 41% and BTTS at 47%.