Puebla Calzada vs Guadiana — Tercera División RFEF - Group 14

Puebla Calzada and Guadiana meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Puebla Calzada have recorded 2 wins from 7 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.43 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 71%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Guadiana have won 0% of their 7 matches, with 0.43 goals scored and 2.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 43%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 0%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.78 for Puebla Calzada and 1.02 for Guadiana. The models give Puebla Calzada a 53% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Guadiana win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 53%.