Jerez vs Llerenense — Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
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Jerez and Llerenense meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Jerez have recorded 3 wins from 8 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.25 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 50%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. Llerenense have won 86% of their 7 matches, with 1.43 goals scored and 0.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 29%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 71%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.19 for Jerez and 1.05 for Llerenense. The models give Jerez a 37% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Llerenense win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 39% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
JerezLlerenenseHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Jerez | Home | Away | Llerenense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 75% | 75% | 75% | 100% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 25% | 25% | 25% | 38% | 50% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 0% | 25% | 13% | 25% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 0% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Jerez | Home | Away | Llerenense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 50% | 75% | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 50% | 50% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 25% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 50% | 25% | 75% | 75% | 75% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Jerez | Llerenense | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 | 50% | 38% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 0% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 0% |
| BTTS | 50% | 25% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 0% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Jerez | Llerenense | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 25% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 75% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 0% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 25% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 0% |
| Win 2nd Half | 25% | 50% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 50% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 0% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 25% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 25% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 50% | 0% |
Recent Venue Form
Jerez (H)
Plasencia0–0
Quintana1–0
Castuera1–2
Puebla Calzada2–2
Montehermoso5–1
Don Benito0–2Llerenense (A)Castuera0–0
Gévora2–1
CD Zafra0–0
Villanovense1–0Puebla Calzada1–4Montehermoso2–2Head to Head · 11 matches
JerezLlerenenseLlerenenseJerezJerezLlerenenseJerezLlerenenseJerezLlerenenseJerez| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Llerenense | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | +8 | 19 |
| 2 |  Azuaga | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | +11 | 18 |
| 3 |  Moralo | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | +7 | 17 |
| 4 | Castuera | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +9 | 13 |
| 5 | Villanovense | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | +5 | 13 |
| 6 | Jerez | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 11 |
| 7 |  Villafranca | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | CD Zafra | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 9 |  Cabeza Buey | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 9 |
| 10 | Puebla Calzada | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 8 |
| 11 |  Montijo | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -2 | 8 |
| 12 | Gévora | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 |  Santa Amalia | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Quintana | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -4 | 6 |
| 15 | Plasencia | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | -5 | 6 |
| 16 |  Jaraíz | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -4 | 5 |
| 17 |  Atlético Pueblonuevo | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | -11 | 3 |
| 18 |  Guadiana | 7 | 0 | 1 | 6 | -14 | 1 |
Team Insights
Jerez- ●Jerez have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●67% of Jerez's goals conceded were conceded away.
Llerenense- ●Llerenense have been undefeated in their last 8 matches.
- ●Llerenense have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Llerenense have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Llerenense have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Llerenense have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●70% of Llerenense's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
JerezVillanovense1–5Plasencia0–0Quintana1–0Guadiana4–1Azuaga0–2Castuera1–2Atlético Pueblonuevo01/11Jaraíz08/11Moralo15/11LlerenenseCastuera0–0Santa Amalia3–0Puebla Calzada2–1Gévora2–1CD Zafra0–0Jaraíz1–0Plasencia01/11Quintana08/11Atlético Pueblonuevo15/11Top Scorers
JerezLlerenense