Castuera vs Villanovense — Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
← Back
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
Billed Annually · Cancel Anytime
Castuera and Villanovense meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Castuera have recorded 5 wins from 9 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 1.78 goals scored and 0.67 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 56% of games. Villanovense have won 50% of their 10 matches, with 1.40 goals scored and 0.70 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 30%, Over 2.5 at 20%, and clean sheets at 50%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.61 for Castuera and 0.85 for Villanovense. The models give Castuera a 51% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Villanovense win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
CastueraVillanovenseHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Castuera | Home | Away | Villanovense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 75% | 80% | 70% | 50% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 50% | 20% | 40% | 50% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 50% | 0% | 10% | 17% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 25% | 20% | 30% | 50% | 0% |
Goals Conceded
| Castuera | Home | Away | Villanovense | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 44% | 0% | 80% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 0% | 40% | 20% | 17% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 56% | 100% | 20% | 50% | 50% | 50% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Castuera | Villanovense | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 70% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 20% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 10% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 10% |
| BTTS | 33% | 30% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 22% | 20% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 22% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Castuera | Villanovense | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 33% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 44% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 10% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 44% | 10% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 11% | 20% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 11% | 40% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 10% |
Recent Venue Form
Castuera (H)
Llerenense0–0
Atlético Pueblonuevo5–0
Plasencia1–0
Gévora5–0
Trujillo1–2
Puebla Calzada1–2Villanovense (A)
Guadiana2–0
Cabeza Buey1–1
Villafranca1–0
Moralo1–2
Montehermoso3–0Llerenense2–0| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Azuaga | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 22 |
| 2 | Llerenense | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 | Moralo | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 | Castuera | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 17 |
| 5 | Villanovense | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 17 |
| 6 | Puebla Calzada | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 14 |
| 7 | Cabeza Buey | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 13 |
| 8 |  CD Zafra | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 12 |
| 9 |  Quintana | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 10 |  Jerez | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Gévora | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 | Villafranca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 |  Jaraíz | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 |  Santa Amalia | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Plasencia | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 16 |  Montijo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 17 | Atlético Pueblonuevo | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 | Guadiana | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -22 | 1 |
Team Insights
Castuera- ●Castuera have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Castuera have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Castuera have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Castuera have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Castuera have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Castuera failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 away matches.
- ●69% of Castuera's goals have been scored at home.
Villanovense- ●Villanovense have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Villanovense have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Villanovense have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Villanovense have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Villanovense have kept a clean sheet in 3 of their 5 home matches.
- ●64% of Villanovense's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
CastueraVillafranca1–0Llerenense0–0Quintana1–1Moralo1–2Atlético Pueblonuevo5–0Plasencia1–0Montijo08/11Cabeza Buey15/11Azuaga22/11VillanovenseJaraíz0–0Jerez5–1Guadiana2–0Azuaga2–0Cabeza Buey1–1Montijo2–0CD Zafra08/11Santa Amalia15/11Gévora22/11Top Scorers
CastueraVillanovense