Moralo vs Montijo — Tercera División RFEF - Group 14
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Moralo and Montijo meet in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 14 2026 season on 6 December 2026. Moralo have recorded 5 wins from 9 matches this season (56% win rate), averaging 1.67 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 78% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 44%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Montijo have won 22% of their 9 matches, with 0.89 goals scored and 1.67 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 33%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.54 for Moralo and 0.89 for Montijo. The models give Moralo a 57% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Montijo win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 46%.
Season Statistics
Moralo
MontijoHome vs Away
Goals Scored
| Moralo | Home | Away | Montijo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 80% | 100% | 56% | 80% | 25% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 56% | 60% | 50% | 22% | 40% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 0% | 50% | 11% | 20% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 20% | 0% | 44% | 20% | 75% |
Goals Conceded
| Moralo | Home | Away | Montijo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 80% | 100% | 78% | 60% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 20% | 25% | 56% | 40% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 22% | 40% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 20% | 0% | 22% | 40% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Moralo | Montijo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 2.5 | 44% | 33% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 33% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 0% |
| BTTS | 78% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 44% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 44% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Moralo | Montijo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 33% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 33% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 67% | 56% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 22% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 56% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 11% | 44% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 44% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 56% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 89% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 56% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
Moralo (H)
Quintana0–2
Castuera2–1
Gévora1–1
CD Zafra2–0
Villanovense2–1
Badajoz0–2Montijo (A)Gévora0–2CD Zafra1–1Villanovense0–2
Azuaga0–2Azuaga2–4
Calamonte3–2Head to Head · 7 matches
MoraloMontijoMontijoMoraloMoraloMontijoMontijo| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Azuaga | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | +12 | 22 |
| 2 |  Llerenense | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | +8 | 21 |
| 3 | Moralo | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | +5 | 18 |
| 4 | Castuera | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +10 | 17 |
| 5 | Villanovense | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | +9 | 17 |
| 6 |  Puebla Calzada | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | +5 | 14 |
| 7 |  Cabeza Buey | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 13 |
| 8 | CD Zafra | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +4 | 12 |
| 9 | Quintana | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 12 |
| 10 |  Jerez | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | -2 | 12 |
| 11 | Gévora | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 11 |
| 12 |  Villafranca | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | -2 | 10 |
| 13 |  Jaraíz | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 9 |
| 14 |  Santa Amalia | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 |  Plasencia | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | -5 | 8 |
| 16 | Montijo | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -7 | 8 |
| 17 |  Atlético Pueblonuevo | 9 | 0 | 4 | 5 | -14 | 4 |
| 18 |  Guadiana | 9 | 0 | 1 | 8 | -22 | 1 |
Team Insights
Moralo- ●Moralo failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Moralo have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Moralo have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Moralo failed to keep a clean sheet in 4 of their 5 home matches.
- ●Moralo have conceded 70% of their goals in the first half.
Montijo- ●Montijo have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●88% of Montijo's goals have been scored at home.
- ●87% of Montijo's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
MoraloQuintana0–2Plasencia1–1Castuera2–1Puebla Calzada3–1Gévora1–1Santa Amalia1–1Atlético Pueblonuevo08/11Jerez15/11Llerenense22/11MontijoPuebla Calzada1–3Gévora0–2Santa Amalia0–0CD Zafra1–1Jaraíz2–0Villanovense0–2Castuera08/11Plasencia15/11Quintana22/11Top Scorers
MoraloMontijo